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Antony Davies

Personal Details

First Name:Antony
Middle Name:
Last Name:Davies
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pan49
https://www.youtube.com/antonydavies
Donahue Graduate School of Business Duquesne University Pittsburgh, PA 15282
Terminal Degree:1994 Department of Economics; State University of New York-Albany (SUNY) (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

(50%) School of Business
Duquesne University

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (United States)
http://www.bus.duq.edu/
RePEc:edi:sbduqus (more details at EDIRC)

(45%) Mercatus Center
George Mason University

Arlington, Virginia (United States)
http://www.mercatus.org/
RePEc:edi:mcgmuus (more details at EDIRC)

(5%) H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
Center for Economic Research
Department of Economics
George Washington University

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
https://cer.columbian.gwu.edu/research-program-forecasting
RePEc:edi:pfgwuus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Kajal Lahiri & Antony Davies & Xuguang Sheng, 2010. "Analyzing Three-Dimensional Panel Data of Forecasts," Discussion Papers 10-07, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
  2. Rosen Valchev & Antony Davies, 2009. "Transparency, Performance, and Agency Budgets: A Rational Expectations Modeling Approach," Working Papers 2009-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
  3. Antony Davies, 2008. "An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation," Working Papers 2008-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.

Articles

  1. Pavel A. Yakovlev & Antony Davies, 2014. "How does the estate tax affect the number of firms?," Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 96-117, April.
  2. de Rugy, Veronique & Davies, Antony, 2009. "Midnight regulations and the Cinderella effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 886-890, December.
  3. Davies, Antony, 2009. "Human development and the optimal size of government," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 326-330, March.
  4. Davies, Antony, 2006. "A framework for decomposing shocks and measuring volatilities derived from multi-dimensional panel data of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 373-393.
  5. Davies, Antony & Quinlivan, Gary, 2006. "A panel data analysis of the impact of trade on human development," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 868-876, October.
  6. Davies, Antony & Cline, Thomas W., 2005. "A consumer behavior approach to modeling monopolistic competition," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 797-826, December.
  7. Antony Davies, 2004. "Computational intermediation and the evolution of computation as a commodity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(11), pages 1131-1142.
  8. Davies, Anthony & Lahiri, Kajal, 1995. "A new framework for analyzing survey forecasts using three-dimensional panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 205-227, July.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Kajal Lahiri & Antony Davies & Xuguang Sheng, 2010. "Analyzing Three-Dimensional Panel Data of Forecasts," Discussion Papers 10-07, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Weale, Martin, 2006. "Survey Expectations," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 715-776, Elsevier.
    2. Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2014. "Forecast revisions of Mexican inflation and GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 177-191.
    3. Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler, 2014. "Evaluating Forecasts Of A Vector Of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition," Working Papers 2014-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    4. Goodwin, Thomas & Tian, Jing, 2017. "A state space approach to evaluate multi-horizon forecasts," Working Papers 2017-15, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    5. Graham Elliott & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Economic Forecasting," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(1), pages 3-56, March.
    6. Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts," Working Papers 2006-08, Banco de México.
    8. Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O. & Carnow, Warren, 2015. "Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 157-164.
    9. Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 122-157, March.
    10. Sheng, Xuguang (Simon), 2015. "Evaluating the economic forecasts of FOMC members," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 165-175.
    11. Michael P Clements, 2014. "Assessing the Evidence of Macro- Forecaster Herding: Forecasts of Inflation and Output Growth," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2014-12, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    12. Alexander HARIN, 2014. "Partially Unforeseen Events. Corrections and Correcting Formulae for Forecasts," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 2(2), pages 69-79.

Articles

  1. Pavel A. Yakovlev & Antony Davies, 2014. "How does the estate tax affect the number of firms?," Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 96-117, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Bruce, Donald & Gurley-Calvez, Tami J. & Norwood, Alex, 2020. "Entrepreneurship as Trust," Foundations and Trends(R) in Entrepreneurship, now publishers, vol. 16(5), pages 393-443, April.

  2. de Rugy, Veronique & Davies, Antony, 2009. "Midnight regulations and the Cinderella effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 886-890, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Dima Yazji Shamoun & Bruce Yandle, 2016. "Asserting presidential preferences in a regulatory review bureaucracy," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 87-111, January.

  3. Davies, Antony, 2009. "Human development and the optimal size of government," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 326-330, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehdi Hajamini & Mohammad Ali Falahi, 2014. "The nonlinear impact of government consumption expenditure on economic growth: Evidence from low and low-middle income countries," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-15, December.
    2. P. Zhou & B. Ang & D. Zhou, 2010. "Weighting and Aggregation in Composite Indicator Construction: a Multiplicative Optimization Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 96(1), pages 169-181, March.
    3. Alimi, R. Santos, 2020. "Public Spending and Economic Welfare in ECOWAS Countries: Does Level of Development Matter?," MPRA Paper 99425, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Bekzod ABDULLAEV & Laszlo KONYA, 2014. "Growth Maximizing Tax Rate for Uzbekistan," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 59-72.
    5. François Facchini & Mickaël Melki, 2013. "Efficient government size: France in the 20 th century," Post-Print hal-01286723, HAL.
    6. François Facchini & Mickaël Melki, 2011. "Optimal government size and economic growth in France (1871-2008) : An explanation by the State and market failures," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00654363, HAL.
    7. Massimiliano Mazzanti & Matteo Mazzarano & Andrea Pronti & Marco Quatrosi, 2020. "Fiscal policies, public investments and wellbeing: mapping the evolution of the EU," Insights into Regional Development, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 2(4), pages 725-749, December.
    8. António Afonso & Ludger Schuknecht & Vito Tanzi, 2020. "The Size of Government," Working Papers REM 2020/0129, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    9. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2020. "Health Care Spending and Economic Growth: Armey-Rahn Curve in a Panel of European Economies," MPRA Paper 106705, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Bryane Michael, 2018. "What does Brunei teach us about using Human Development Index rankings as a policy tool?," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 36(S1), pages 414-431, March.
    11. Mauricio Soto & Mrs. Esther Perez Ruiz, 2019. "Attaining Selected Sustainable Development Goals in Guatemala: Spending, Provision, and Financing Needs," IMF Working Papers 2019/060, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Vítor Castro & Rodrigo Martins, 2016. "The Electoral Dynamics of Human Development," NIPE Working Papers 6/2016, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    13. Hajamini, Mehdi & Falahi, Mohammad Ali, 2012. "Economic growth and the optimum size of government in 15 European countries: A threshold panel approach," MPRA Paper 39616, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Halkos, George & Paizanos, Epameinondas, 2015. "Fiscal policy and economic performance: A review of the theoretical and empirical literature," MPRA Paper 67737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Hamidreza Hajibabaei & Alimohammad Ahmadi, 2014. "Government Size and Human Development: Quadratic Regression Approach," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 160-166, April.
    16. Hajamini, Mehdi & Falahi, Mohammad Ali, 2018. "Economic growth and government size in developed European countries: A panel threshold approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-13.
    17. Ebru Çaðlayan-Akay & Muhammed H. Van, 2017. "Determinants of the Levels of Development Based on the Human Development Index:Bayesian Ordered Probit Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 425-431.
    18. Susana Martins & Francisco José Veiga, 2013. "Government size, composition of public expenditure, and economic development," NIPE Working Papers 17/2013, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    19. Aleksandra Maksimovska & Aleksandar Stojkov, 2019. "Composite Indicator of Social Responsiveness of Local Governments: An Empirical Mapping of the Networked Community Governance Paradigm," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 669-706, July.
    20. Vincenzo Marinello & Chiara Di Puma, 2020. "The Human Development Index: a critical evaluation and a new proposal," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 74(2), pages 29-38, April-Jun.
    21. Sangaran Vijesandiran & Priyatharsiny Selvarasa, 2018. "Effects Of Fiscal Policy On Human Development In Sri Lanka: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 3(3), pages 1-36, December.
    22. Juyong Lee & Youngsang Cho & Jungwoo Shin, 2019. "A Study on the Optimal Ratio of Research and Development Investment in the Energy Sector: An Empirical Analysis in South Korea," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(2), pages 1-12, January.
    23. Adu Frank & Ohene-Manu Joseph & Ishmael Ackah, 2014. "Government Expenditures and Economic Growth dynamics in Ghana," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 2(5), pages 180-190, May.
    24. Alina Cristina Nuta & Florian Marcel Nuta & Viorica Chirila & Angela Roman & Andy Corneliu Pusca, 2015. "Testing the Relationship between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Romania," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 11(4), pages 86-102, August.
    25. Salvatore Greco & Alessio Ishizaka & Menelaos Tasiou & Gianpiero Torrisi, 2019. "On the Methodological Framework of Composite Indices: A Review of the Issues of Weighting, Aggregation, and Robustness," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 61-94, January.
    26. Petar Stankov, 2017. "Economic Freedom and Welfare Before and After the Crisis," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-62497-6, September.
    27. Alimi, R. Santos, 2018. "Growth effect of government expenditures in West African countries: A nonlinear framework," MPRA Paper 99108, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2019.
    28. Magazzino, Cosimo & Forte, Francesco, 2010. "Optimal size of government and economic growth in EU-27," MPRA Paper 26669, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  4. Davies, Antony, 2006. "A framework for decomposing shocks and measuring volatilities derived from multi-dimensional panel data of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 373-393.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael K Andersson & Ted Aranki & André Reslow, 2017. "Adjusting for information content when comparing forecast performance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 784-794, November.
    2. Rosen Valchev & Antony Davies, 2009. "Transparency, Performance, and Agency Budgets: A Rational Expectations Modeling Approach," Working Papers 2009-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    3. Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009. "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 167-181.
    4. Croushore Dean, 2010. "An Evaluation of Inflation Forecasts from Surveys Using Real-Time Data," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, May.
    5. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    6. Bedri Kamil Onur Taş, 2016. "Does the Federal Reserve have Private Information about its Future Actions?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(331), pages 498-517, July.
    7. Boero, Gianna & Smith, Jeremy & Wallis, Kenneth F., 2008. "Evaluating a three-dimensional panel of point forecasts: The Bank of England Survey of External Forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 354-367.
    8. Antony Davies, 2008. "An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation," Working Papers 2008-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    9. Silvija Vlah Jerić & Mihovil Anđelinović, 2019. "Evaluating Croatian stock index forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1325-1339, April.

  5. Davies, Antony & Quinlivan, Gary, 2006. "A panel data analysis of the impact of trade on human development," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 868-876, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Souha El Khanji, 2017. "An exploration of the interaction between socio-economic productivity and water withdrawal," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 653-677, April.
    2. Morris Altman, 2008. "How much economic freedom is necessary for economic growth? Theory and evidence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20.
    3. Vishalkumar Jani & Dholakia, Ravindra H., 2015. "Economic Globalization: Boon or Bane for African Health?," IIMA Working Papers WP2015-07-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    4. Hamid, Zarinah & Amin, Ruzita Mohd, 2013. "Trade and Human Development in OIC Countries: A Panel Data Analysis," Islamic Economic Studies, The Islamic Research and Training Institute (IRTI), vol. 21, pages 55-70.
    5. Matthew Sanderson, 2010. "International Migration and Human Development in Destination Countries: A Cross-National Analysis of Less-Developed Countries, 1970–2005," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 96(1), pages 59-83, March.
    6. Aalok Ranjan Chaurasia, 2017. "Human Development in Gujarat: Evidence from 2011 Population Census," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 11(3), pages 313-334, December.
    7. Bryane Michael, 2018. "What does Brunei teach us about using Human Development Index rankings as a policy tool?," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 36(S1), pages 414-431, March.
    8. Diogo Ferraz & Enzo B. Mariano & Daisy Rebelatto & Dominik Hartmann, 2020. "Linking Human Development and the Financial Responsibility of Regions: Combined Index Proposals Using Methods from Data Envelopment Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 150(2), pages 439-478, July.
    9. Faishal Fadli & Ouyang Hongbing & Yaqing Liu, 2020. "Earmarking Tax for Indonesia's Economic Growth through the Education and Health Sector in the Long and Short Term Period," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 1-39, March.
    10. Biswajit Maitra & Moutushi Chakraborty, 2021. "International trade, human capital and economic growth in Sri Lanka," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 405-426, September.
    11. Stéphane Mbiankeu Nguea & Issidor Noumba & Armand Gilbert Noula, 2020. "Does Globalization improve Health in Sub-Saharan African countries?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3033-3045.
    12. Acheampong, Alex O. & Erdiaw-Kwasie, Michael Odei & Abunyewah, Matthew, 2021. "Does energy accessibility improve human development? Evidence from energy-poor regions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    13. Hamidreza Hajibabaei & Alimohammad Ahmadi, 2014. "Government Size and Human Development: Quadratic Regression Approach," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 160-166, April.
    14. Özcan, Burcu & Bjørnskov, Christian, 2011. "Social trust and human development," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 753-762.
    15. Ertan Oktay & Giray Gozgor, 2011. "Trade and Regional Development in A Developing Country: The Case of Turkey," ERSA conference papers ersa11p890, European Regional Science Association.
    16. Majerová Ingrid, 2019. "Socio-economic Development and its Impact on Health Personnel in Regions of Visegrad Group Plus Countries," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 19(1), pages 3-24, March.
    17. Sinha, Avik & Sen, Sudipta, 2016. "Atmospheric consequences of trade and human development: A case of BRIC countries," MPRA Paper 100011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Davies, Antony, 2009. "Human development and the optimal size of government," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 326-330, March.
    19. Jadvyga Ciburiene, 2016. "The Evaluation Of Economic Development Index Of Poland And Lithuania In The Context Of The European Union," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(3), pages 437-449, September.
    20. Ebru Çaðlayan-Akay & Muhammed H. Van, 2017. "Determinants of the Levels of Development Based on the Human Development Index:Bayesian Ordered Probit Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 425-431.
    21. Martinez, Pablo, 2015. "The impact of foreign aid on economic growth," MPRA Paper 66588, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Chhorn, Theara & Chhorn, Dina, 2017. "Modelling Linkage of Globalization and Financial Development to Human Development in CLMV Region," MPRA Paper 84878, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Nov 2017.

  6. Davies, Antony & Cline, Thomas W., 2005. "A consumer behavior approach to modeling monopolistic competition," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 797-826, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Rosen Valchev & Antony Davies, 2009. "Transparency, Performance, and Agency Budgets: A Rational Expectations Modeling Approach," Working Papers 2009-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.

  7. Davies, Anthony & Lahiri, Kajal, 1995. "A new framework for analyzing survey forecasts using three-dimensional panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 205-227, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Emna Trabelsi, 2016. "Central Bank Transparency and the consensus forecast: What does The Economist poll of forecasters tell us?," Post-Print hal-01121434, HAL.
    2. Giampiero M. Gallo & Clive W.J. Granger & Yongil Jeon, 2002. "Copycats and Common Swings: The Impact of the Use of Forecasts in Information Sets," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(1), pages 1-2.
    3. Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009. "Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7," Jena Economic Research Papers 2009-091, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    4. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    5. Kenny, Geoff & Kostka, Thomas & Masera, Federico, 2013. "Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF," Working Paper Series 1540, European Central Bank.
    6. Michael K Andersson & Ted Aranki & André Reslow, 2017. "Adjusting for information content when comparing forecast performance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 784-794, November.
    7. Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2014. "Forecast revisions of Mexican inflation and GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 177-191.
    8. Goodwin, Thomas & Tian, Jing, 2017. "A state space approach to evaluate multi-horizon forecasts," Working Papers 2017-15, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    9. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
    10. Glas, Alexander & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Inflation uncertainty, disagreement and monetary policy: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 215-228.
    11. Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Xun, 2018. "How efficient are China's macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 506-513.
    12. Fred Joutz & Michael P. Clements & Herman O. Stekler, 2007. "An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 121-136.
    13. Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2011. "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, June.
    14. Rosen Valchev & Antony Davies, 2009. "Transparency, Performance, and Agency Budgets: A Rational Expectations Modeling Approach," Working Papers 2009-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    15. Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2019. "Biased Forecasts to Affect Voting Decisions? The Brexit Case," Working Paper Series 2019:4, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    16. Constantin Burgi, 2016. "What Do We Lose When We Average Expectations?," Working Papers 2016-013, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    17. Graham Elliott & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Economic Forecasting," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(1), pages 3-56, March.
    18. Mr. Prakash Loungani, 2000. "How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts: Cross-Country Evidence From Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth," IMF Working Papers 2000/077, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    20. Isiklar, Gultekin, 2005. "On aggregation bias in fixed-event forecast efficiency tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 89(3), pages 312-316, December.
    21. Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2017. "Behavioral Biases in Firms' Growth Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    22. Boonlert Jitmaneeroj & Michael Lamla, 2018. "The Implications of Central Bank Transparency for Uncertainty and Disagreement," KOF Working papers 18-445, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    23. Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the greenbook's relative forecasting performance," Post-Print hal-01087522, HAL.
    24. Lahiri, Kajal & Liu, Fushang, 2005. "ARCH models for multi-period forecast uncertainty-a reality check using a panel of density forecasts," MPRA Paper 21693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 954, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    26. Masahiro Ashiya, 2009. "Strategic bias and professional affiliations of macroeconomic forecasters," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 120-130.
    27. Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts," Working Papers 2006-08, Banco de México.
    28. Giulietti, Monica & Otero, Jesus & Smith, Jeremy, 2006. "Testing for unit roots in three-dimensional heterogeneous panels in the presence of cross-sectional dependence," Economic Research Papers 269741, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    29. Mr. Herman O. Stekler & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2011. "Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2011/125, International Monetary Fund.
    30. Ann Owen & Stephen Wu, 2007. "Financial shocks and worry about the future," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 515-530, November.
    31. Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar, 2010. "Estimating International Transmission of Shocks Using GDP Forecasts: India and Its Trading Partners," Discussion Papers 10-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
    32. Meryem Duygun & Jiaqi Hao & Anders Isaksson & Robin C. Sickles, 2017. "World Productivity Growth: A Model Averaging Approach," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(4), pages 587-619, October.
    33. Engelke, Carola & Heinisch, Katja & Schult, Christoph, 2019. "How forecast accuracy depends on conditioning assumptions," IWH Discussion Papers 18/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    34. Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009. "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 167-181.
    35. Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 122-157, March.
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NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 2 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2010-06-18
  2. NEP-CTA: Contract Theory & Applications (1) 2010-03-20
  3. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2010-06-18
  4. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2010-06-18

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