Publications
by members of
Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group
Warwick Business School
University of Warwick
Coventry, United Kingdom
These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.| Working papers | Journal articles | Chapters |
Working papers
Undated material is listed at the end2024
- Mr. Christian Bogmans & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Ivan Petrella & Ervin Prifti & Martin Stuermer, 2024. "The Power of Prices: How Fast Do Commodity Markets Adjust to Shocks?," IMF Working Papers 2024/077, International Monetary Fund.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2024. "Unveiling the Dance of Commodity Prices and the Global Financial Cycle," IMF Working Papers 2024/082, International Monetary Fund.
2023
- Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan, 2023.
"Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: The Role of Heterogeneous Dynamics and Fat Tails,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17800, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Petrella, Ivan & Gaudio, Francesco Saverio & Santoro, Emiliano, 2023. "Asset Market Participation, Redistribution, and Asset Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 17984, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
2022
- Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2022.
"Bond Risk Premia, Priced Regime Shifts, and Macroeconomic Fundamentals,"
Working Papers
200, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Constantino Hevia & Martín Sola & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Bond risk premia, priced regime shifts, and macroeconomic fundamentals," Department of Economics Working Papers 2022_03, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022.
"Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
541, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts," MPRA Paper 114325, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022.
"Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration Forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
115559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2023. "Asymmetry and interdependence when evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
2021
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2021.
"Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16417, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2024. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 81-114, February.
- Ana B. Galvão & James Mitchell, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP," Working Papers 21-28R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 13 Jul 2022.
- Ana Galvao & James Mitchell, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-06, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2021.
"Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1324, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea, 2022. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 15109, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle-Monache, Davide & De-Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2020. "Modelling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," EMF Research Papers 34, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Di Pace, Federico & Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2021.
"Terms-of-trade shocks are not all alike,"
Bank of England working papers
901, Bank of England.
- Petrella, Ivan & Di Pace, Federico & Juvenal, Luciana, 2020. "Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike," CEPR Discussion Papers 14594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Luciana Juvenal, 2020. "Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike," IMF Working Papers 2020/280, International Monetary Fund.
- Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021.
"Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle,"
Cardiff Economics Working Papers
E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Martin Iseringhausen & Ivan Petrella & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2022. "Aggregate skewness and the business cycle," Working Papers 53, European Stability Mechanism.
- Petrella, Ivan & Iseringhausen, Martin & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2022. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 17162, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas, 2021. "Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: Secular Trends, Large Shocks and New Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 15926, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2021.
"Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16613, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Ivan Petrella & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2021. "Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Juan Antolín-Díaz & Ivan Petrella & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2021. "Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 2021-14, FEDEA.
2020
- Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2020.
"Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data,"
Working Papers
2020-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Apr 2022.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Owyang, 2022. "Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1314-1333, November.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Owyang, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data," EMF Research Papers 38, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Marta Lopresto, 2020.
"Real-time Probabilistic Nowcasts of UK Quarterly GDP Growth using a Mixed-Frequency Bottom-up Approach,"
Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers
ESCoE DP-2020-06, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Lopresto, Marta, 2020. "Real-Time Probabilistic Nowcasts Of Uk Quarterly Gdp Growth Using A Mixed-Frequency Bottom-Up Approach," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 254, pages 1-11, November.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Amit Kara, 2020. "The Impact of GDP Data Revisions on Identifying and Predicting UK Recessions," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-12, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020.
"Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?,"
EMF Research Papers
33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2020.
"Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty,"
EMF Research Papers
35, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023. "Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2020. "Density Forecasting with BVAR Models under Macroeconomic Data Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 36, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2020.
"Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns: a score driven state space model,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1296, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2021. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: A Score-Driven State Space Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 1054-1065, October.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 14107, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model," EMF Research Papers 29, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Venditti, Fabrizio & Petrella, Ivan, 2020. "Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns: a score driven state space model," Working Paper Series 2369, European Central Bank.
2019
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019.
"Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth,"
Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers
ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty : An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth," EMF Research Papers 24, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell & Johnny Runge, 2019.
"Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP,"
Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers
ESCoE DP-2019-20, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James & Runge, Johnny, 2019. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," EMF Research Papers 30, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- van der Bles, Anne Marthe & van der Liden, Sander & Freeman, Alessandra L. J. & Mitchell, James & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Spiegelhalter, David J., 2019. "Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science," EMF Research Papers 22, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2019.
"Measuring the Effects of Expectations Shocks,"
EMF Research Papers
31, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2021. "Measuring the effects of expectations shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Petrella, Ivan & Lubello, Federico & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019.
"Bank Assets, Liquidity and Credit Cycles,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13831, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lubello, Federico & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019. "Bank assets, liquidity and credit cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 265-282.
- Lubello, Frederico & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019. "Bank Assets, Liquidity and Credit Cycles," EMF Research Papers 26, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2019.
"Efficient Matrix Approach for Classical Inference in State Space Models,"
EMF Research Papers
19, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Efficient matrix approach for classical inference in state space models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 22-27.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan, 2019.
"Commodity Prices and Inflation Risk,"
EMF Research Papers
23, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Commodity prices and inflation risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
- Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Not all Terms of Trade Shocks are Alike," EMF Research Papers 25, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
2018
- Anesti, Nikoleta & Galvão, Ana & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018.
"Uncertain Kingdom: nowcasting GDP and its revisions,"
Bank of England working papers
764, Bank of England, revised 31 Jan 2020.
- Anesti, Nikoleta & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018. "Uncertain kingdom: nowcasting GDP and its revisions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90382, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Nikoleta Anesti & Ana Beatriz Galvao & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2018. "Uncertain Kingdom: Nowcasting GDP and its Revisions," Discussion Papers 1824, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2018.
"News and Uncertainty Shocks,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1240, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Danilo Cascaldi‐Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2021. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 779-811, June.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," EMF Research Papers 12, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2018. "Credit Conditions and the Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks," EMF Research Papers 17, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Federico Lubello & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2018. "Chained financial frictions and credit cycles," BCL working papers 116, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco, 2018.
"Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2021. "Structural scenario analysis with SVARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 798-815.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2020. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," EMF Research Papers 32, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse de la Porte, 2018.
"Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse P., 2019. "Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics," EMF Research Papers 28, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
2017
- Michael P Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2017. "Data Revisions and Real-time Probabilistic Forecasting of Macroeconomic Variables," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2017-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Henrik Jensen & Ivan Petrella & Søren Hove Ravn & Emiliano Santoro, 2017.
"Leverage and deepening business cycle skewness,"
Working Papers
1732, Banco de España.
- Henrik Jensen & Ivan Petrella & Søren Hove Ravn & Emiliano Santoro, 2020. "Leverage and Deepening Business-Cycle Skewness," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 245-281, January.
- Mogens Fosgerau & Jinwon Kim & Abhishek Ranjan, 2017. "Vickrey Meets Alonso: Commute Scheduling and Congestion in a Monocentric City," Discussion Papers 17-25, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Jensen, Henrik & Petrella, Ivan & Ravn, Soren & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019. "Leverage and Deepening Business Cycle Skewness," EMF Research Papers 21, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Petrella, Ivan & Jensen, Henrik & Ravn, Søren Hove & Santoro, Emiliano, 2017. "Leverage and Deepening Business Cycle Skewness," CEPR Discussion Papers 12239, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Juan Antolín-Díaz & Ivan Petrella & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2017. "Structural Scenario Analysis and Stress Testing with Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2017-13, FEDEA.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2017.
"Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade-offs,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
233, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2019. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade‐Offs," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(1), pages 55-88, January.
- Petrella, Ivan & Rossi, Rafaelle & Santoro, Emilio, 2017. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade-offs," EMF Research Papers 14, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Distante, Roberta & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2017.
"Gibrat's Law and Quantile Regressions: an Application to Firm Growth,"
EMF Research Papers
16, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Distante, Roberta & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2018. "Gibrat’s law and quantile regressions: An application to firm growth," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 5-9.
2016
- Andrea Carriero & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2016.
"A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods,"
EMF Research Papers
10, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2019. "A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1226-1239.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016.
"Data Revisions and DSGE Models,"
EMF Research Papers
11, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2017. "Data revisions and DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 215-232.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016.
"Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting,"
BCAM Working Papers
1603, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails with an Application to Inflation Forecasting," EMF Research Papers 13, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 75424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016.
"Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth,"
Bank of England working papers
587, Bank of England.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Hevia, Constantino & Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin, 2016.
"Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures,"
Bank of England working papers
591, Bank of England.
- Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2018. "Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 853-873, September.
- Hevia, Constantino & Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin, 2018. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," EMF Research Papers 18, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin & Hevia, Constantino, 2016. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," CEPR Discussion Papers 11169, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2016. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," Department of Economics Working Papers 2016_01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
- Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive state space models with applications to the business cycle and financial stress," CEPR Discussion Papers 11599, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
2015
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015.
"A Time Varying DSGE Model with Financial Frictions,"
Working Papers
769, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Giraitis, Liudas & Kapetanios, George & Petrova, Katerina, 2016. "A time varying DSGE model with financial frictions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 690-716.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers 770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2015.
"Common faith or parting ways? A time varying parameters factor analysis of euro-area inflation,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1515, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2016. "Common Faith or Parting Ways? A Time Varying Parameters Factor Analysis of Euro-Area Inflation," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 539-565, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
2014
- Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2014.
"Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy,"
Working Papers
2014-20, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2018. "Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1479-1505, October.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2014. "Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2014-04, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Distante, Roberta & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2014.
"Size, Age and the Growth of Firms: New Evidence from Quantile Regressions,"
Economy and Society
179223, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Roberta Distante & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2014. "Size, Age and the Growth of Firms: New Evidence from Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 2014.69, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014.
"Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1409, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Bank of England working papers 577, Bank of England.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1052, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Working Papers 720, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Santoro, Emiliano & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014.
"Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
10105, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Santoro, Emiliano & Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014. "Loss aversion and the asymmetric transmission of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 19-36.
- Edoardo Gaffeo & Ivan Petrella & Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 12-21, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Petrella, Ivan & Juvenal, Luciana, 2014.
"Speculation in the Oil Market,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9808, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2012. "Speculation in the oil market," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2015. "Speculation in the Oil Market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 621-649, June.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2011. "Speculation in the oil market," Working Papers 2011-027, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
2013
- Distante, Roberta & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2013.
"Asymmetry Reversals and the Business Cycle,"
Economy and Society
151531, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Roberta Distante & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2013. "Asymmetry Reversals and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2013.54, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2013.
"Discretion vs. Timeless Perspective under Model-consistent Stabilization Objectives,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1306, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Petrella, Ivan & Rossi, Raffaele & Santoro, Emiliano, 2014. "Discretion vs. timeless perspective under model-consistent stabilization objectives," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 84-88.
- Petrella, Ivan & Rossi, Raffaele & Santoro, Emiliano, 2013. "Discretion vs. Timeless Perspective under Model-consistent Stabilization Objectives," CEPR Discussion Papers 9731, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
2012
- Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2012.
"Inflation Dynamics and Real Marginal Costs: New Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing Industries,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1202, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2012. "Inflation dynamics and real marginal costs: New evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 779-794.
- Ivan PETRELLA & Emiliano SANTORO, 2011. "Inflation dynamics and real marginal costs: new evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces11.38, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics and Real Marginal Costs: New Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing Industries," Discussion Papers 11-32, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Linkages and Durable Goods," Discussion Papers 12-19, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Discretion vs. Timeless Perspective Policy-Making: the Role of Input-Output Interactions," Discussion Papers 12-20, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
2011
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2011. "Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiple-vintage Models," Working Papers 678, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Sean HOLLY & Ivan PETRELLA & Emiliano SANTORO, 2011.
"Aggregate fluctuations and the cross-sectional dynamics of firm growth,"
Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven
ces11.06, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2013. "Aggregate fluctuations and the cross-sectional dynamics of firm growth," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 176(2), pages 459-479, February.
2010
- Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvao, Ana, 2010.
"Real-time Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions,"
Economic Research Papers
270771, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2010. "Real-time Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 953, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2010.
"Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7827, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ana Beatriz Galvao & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2010. "Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation," Economics Working Papers ECO2010/22, European University Institute.
- Holly, S. & Petrella, I., 2010.
"Factor Demand Linkages, Technology Shocks and the Business Cycle,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
1001, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella, 2012. "Factor Demand Linkages, Technology Shocks, and the Business Cycle," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 948-963, November.
- Holly, Sean & Petrella, Ivan, 2009. "Factor Demand Linkages, Technology Shocks and the Business Cycle," MPRA Paper 18120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sean HOLLY & Ivan PETRELLA, 2010. "Factor demand linkages, technology shocks and the business cycle," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces10.26, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Edoardo GAFFEO & Ivan PETRELLA & Damjan PFAJFAR & Emiliano SANTORO, 2010.
"Reference-dependent preferences and the transmission of monetary policy,"
Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven
ces10.28, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Gaffeo, E. & Petrella, I. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2010. "Reference-dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Other publications TiSEM 2d1a9a11-fccf-42ef-8779-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Gaffeo, E. & Petrella, I. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2010. "Reference-dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Discussion Paper 2010-111, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Gaffeo, E. & Petrella, I. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2010. "Reference-Dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Other publications TiSEM 23d33e54-e5c4-4ac3-b6c9-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
2008
- Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvao, Ana, 2008.
"First Announcements and Real Economic Activity,"
Economic Research Papers
271314, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvão, Ana, 2010. "First announcements and real economic activity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 803-817, August.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2009. "First Announcements and Real Economic Activity," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 885, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Holly, S. & Petrella, I., 2008.
"Factor demand linkages and the business cycle: Interpreting aggregate fluctuations as sectoral fluctuations,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0827, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella, 2008. "Factor demand linkages and the business cycle: interpreting aggregate fluctuations as sectoral fluctuations," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0809, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
2007
- Sónia Costa & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007. "The Forward Premium of Euro Interest Rates," Working Papers w200702, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007.
"Changes in Predictive Ability with Mixed Frequency Data,"
Working Papers
595, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013. "Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US Output Growth," Working Papers 616, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
2006
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2006.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US output growth and inflation,"
Economic Research Papers
269743, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2006. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data : Forecasting US output growth and inflation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 773, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006.
"Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility,"
Economic Research Papers
269747, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2008. "Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 729-750, September.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006. "Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 777, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
2003
- Artis, Michael & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2003.
"The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4014, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "The transmission mechanism in a changing world," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 39-61.
- Michael ARTIS & Ana Beatriz C. GALVÃO & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2003. "The transmission mechanism in a changing world," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/18, European University Institute.
Undated
- Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, "undated".
"Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Consumption Goods and Factor Demand Linkages,"
EPRU Working Paper Series
2009-04, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, revised May 2009.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2010. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Consumption Goods and Factor Demand Linkages," MPRA Paper 21321, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Journal articles
2024
- Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024.
"Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan, 2023. "Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: The Role of Heterogeneous Dynamics and Fat Tails," CEPR Discussion Papers 17800, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
2023
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2023.
"Asymmetry and interdependence when evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration Forecasts," MPRA Paper 115559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
2022
- Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022.
"Commodity prices and inflation risk,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Commodity Prices and Inflation Risk," EMF Research Papers 23, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
2021
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2021.
"Measuring the effects of expectations shocks,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2019. "Measuring the Effects of Expectations Shocks," EMF Research Papers 31, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021.
"Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?," EMF Research Papers 33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Danilo Cascaldi‐Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2021.
"News and Uncertainty Shocks,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 779-811, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2018. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1240, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," EMF Research Papers 12, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2021.
"Structural scenario analysis with SVARs,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 798-815.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2020. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," EMF Research Papers 32, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco, 2018. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2021.
"Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: A Score-Driven State Space Model,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 1054-1065, October.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 14107, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2019. "Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model," EMF Research Papers 29, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2020. "Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns: a score driven state space model," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1296, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Venditti, Fabrizio & Petrella, Ivan, 2020. "Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns: a score driven state space model," Working Paper Series 2369, European Central Bank.
2020
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Lopresto, Marta, 2020.
"Real-Time Probabilistic Nowcasts Of Uk Quarterly Gdp Growth Using A Mixed-Frequency Bottom-Up Approach,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 254, pages 1-11, November.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Marta Lopresto, 2020. "Real-time Probabilistic Nowcasts of UK Quarterly GDP Growth using a Mixed-Frequency Bottom-up Approach," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-06, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Henrik Jensen & Ivan Petrella & Søren Hove Ravn & Emiliano Santoro, 2020.
"Leverage and Deepening Business-Cycle Skewness,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 245-281, January.
- Mogens Fosgerau & Jinwon Kim & Abhishek Ranjan, 2017. "Vickrey Meets Alonso: Commute Scheduling and Congestion in a Monocentric City," Discussion Papers 17-25, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Jensen, Henrik & Petrella, Ivan & Ravn, Soren & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019. "Leverage and Deepening Business Cycle Skewness," EMF Research Papers 21, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Henrik Jensen & Ivan Petrella & Søren Hove Ravn & Emiliano Santoro, 2017. "Leverage and deepening business cycle skewness," Working Papers 1732, Banco de España.
- Petrella, Ivan & Jensen, Henrik & Ravn, Søren Hove & Santoro, Emiliano, 2017. "Leverage and Deepening Business Cycle Skewness," CEPR Discussion Papers 12239, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
2019
- Carriero, Andrea & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2019.
"A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1226-1239.
- Andrea Carriero & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods," EMF Research Papers 10, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2019.
"Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade‐Offs,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(1), pages 55-88, January.
- Petrella, Ivan & Rossi, Rafaelle & Santoro, Emilio, 2017. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade-offs," EMF Research Papers 14, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2017. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade-offs," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 233, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Lubello, Federico & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019.
"Bank assets, liquidity and credit cycles,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 265-282.
- Lubello, Frederico & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019. "Bank Assets, Liquidity and Credit Cycles," EMF Research Papers 26, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Petrella, Ivan & Lubello, Federico & Santoro, Emiliano, 2019. "Bank Assets, Liquidity and Credit Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 13831, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2019.
"Efficient matrix approach for classical inference in state space models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 22-27.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Efficient Matrix Approach for Classical Inference in State Space Models," EMF Research Papers 19, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
2018
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2018.
"Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1479-1505, October.
- Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2014. "Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy," Working Papers 2014-20, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Distante, Roberta & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2018.
"Gibrat’s law and quantile regressions: An application to firm growth,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 5-9.
- Distante, Roberta & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2017. "Gibrat's Law and Quantile Regressions: an Application to Firm Growth," EMF Research Papers 16, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2018.
"Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 853-873, September.
- Hevia, Constantino & Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin, 2018. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," EMF Research Papers 18, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Hevia, Constantino & Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin, 2016. "Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures," Bank of England working papers 591, Bank of England.
- Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin & Hevia, Constantino, 2016. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," CEPR Discussion Papers 11169, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2016. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," Department of Economics Working Papers 2016_01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
2017
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2017.
"Data revisions and DSGE models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 215-232.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016. "Data Revisions and DSGE Models," EMF Research Papers 11, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2017. "Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 591-604.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2017. "Predicting Early Data Revisions to U.S. GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 389-406, July.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017.
"Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," BCAM Working Papers 1603, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails with an Application to Inflation Forecasting," EMF Research Papers 13, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 75424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017.
"Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
2016
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Giraitis, Liudas & Kapetanios, George & Petrova, Katerina, 2016.
"A time varying DSGE model with financial frictions,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 690-716.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Time Varying DSGE Model with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 769, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
2015
- Carriero, Andrea & Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2015. "Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 757-768.
2014
- Galvao Ana Beatriz & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2014. "The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 1-20, May.
- Petrella, Ivan & Rossi, Raffaele & Santoro, Emiliano, 2014.
"Discretion vs. timeless perspective under model-consistent stabilization objectives,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 84-88.
- Petrella, Ivan & Rossi, Raffaele & Santoro, Emiliano, 2013. "Discretion vs. Timeless Perspective under Model-consistent Stabilization Objectives," CEPR Discussion Papers 9731, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2013. "Discretion vs. Timeless Perspective under Model-consistent Stabilization Objectives," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1306, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Santoro, Emiliano & Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014.
"Loss aversion and the asymmetric transmission of monetary policy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 19-36.
- Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Santoro, Emiliano & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014. "Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 10105, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Edoardo Gaffeo & Ivan Petrella & Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 12-21, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
2013
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Costa, Sonia, 2013. "Does the euro area forward rate provide accurate forecasts of the short rate?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 131-141.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013.
"Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007. "Changes in Predictive Ability with Mixed Frequency Data," Working Papers 595, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013. "Forecasting with vector autoregressive models of data vintages: US output growth and inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 698-714.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2013. "Real‐Time Forecasting Of Inflation And Output Growth With Autoregressive Models In The Presence Of Data Revisions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 458-477, April.
- Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2013.
"Aggregate fluctuations and the cross-sectional dynamics of firm growth,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 176(2), pages 459-479, February.
- Sean HOLLY & Ivan PETRELLA & Emiliano SANTORO, 2011. "Aggregate fluctuations and the cross-sectional dynamics of firm growth," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces11.06, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
2012
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2012. "Improving Real-Time Estimates of Output and Inflation Gaps With Multiple-Vintage Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 554-562, May.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2012.
"Inflation dynamics and real marginal costs: New evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 779-794.
- Ivan PETRELLA & Emiliano SANTORO, 2011. "Inflation dynamics and real marginal costs: new evidence from U.S. manufacturing industries," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces11.38, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Inflation Dynamics and Real Marginal Costs: New Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing Industries," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1202, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics and Real Marginal Costs: New Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing Industries," Discussion Papers 11-32, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2012.
"Speculation in the oil market,"
Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2015. "Speculation in the Oil Market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 621-649, June.
- Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2011. "Speculation in the oil market," Working Papers 2011-027, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Petrella, Ivan & Juvenal, Luciana, 2014. "Speculation in the Oil Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 9808, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2012. "When oil prices jump, is speculation to blame?," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Apr.
- Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella, 2012.
"Factor Demand Linkages, Technology Shocks, and the Business Cycle,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 948-963, November.
- Holly, S. & Petrella, I., 2010. "Factor Demand Linkages, Technology Shocks and the Business Cycle," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1001, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Holly, Sean & Petrella, Ivan, 2009. "Factor Demand Linkages, Technology Shocks and the Business Cycle," MPRA Paper 18120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sean HOLLY & Ivan PETRELLA, 2010. "Factor demand linkages, technology shocks and the business cycle," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces10.26, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
2011
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2011. "Input–output interactions and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 1817-1830.
2010
- Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvão, Ana, 2010.
"First announcements and real economic activity,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 803-817, August.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2009. "First Announcements and Real Economic Activity," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 885, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvao, Ana, 2008. "First Announcements and Real Economic Activity," Economic Research Papers 271314, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
2009
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2009.
"Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1187-1206.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2009. "Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1187-1206, November.
2008
- Clements, Michael P & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2008. "Macroeconomic Forecasting With Mixed-Frequency Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 546-554.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2008.
"Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 729-750, September.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006. "Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility," Economic Research Papers 269747, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006. "Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 777, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
2007
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"The transmission mechanism in a changing world,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 39-61.
- Artis, Michael & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2003. "The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World," CEPR Discussion Papers 4014, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael ARTIS & Ana Beatriz C. GALVÃO & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2003. "The transmission mechanism in a changing world," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/18, European University Institute.
2006
- Ana Beatriz C. Galvao, 2006. "Structural break threshold VARs for predicting US recessions using the spread," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 463-487.
2004
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2004. "A comparison of tests of nonlinear cointegration with application to the predictability of US interest rates using the term structure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 219-236.
2003
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz C., 2003. "Testing The Expectations Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates In Threshold Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(4), pages 567-585, September.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz C., 2003. "Multivariate Threshold Models: TVARs and TVECMs," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 23(1), May.
2002
- Beatriz C. Galvao, Ana, 2002. "Can non-linear time series models generate US business cycle asymmetric shape?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 187-194, October.
- Ana B. C. Galvão & Michael P. Clements, 2002. "Conditional mean functions of non-linear models of US output," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 569-586.
2000
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. & Ribeiro, Eduardo P. & Portugal, Marcelo S., 2000. "Volatilidade e Causalidade: Evidências para o Mercado à Vista e Futuro de Índice de Ações no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 54(1), January.
Chapters
2016
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2016.
"Common Faith or Parting Ways? A Time Varying Parameters Factor Analysis of Euro-Area Inflation,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 539-565,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2015. "Common faith or parting ways? A time varying parameters factor analysis of euro-area inflation," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1515, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.