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Forecasting price delay and future stock returns: The role of corporate social responsibility

Author

Listed:
  • Yujing Gong
  • Kung‐Cheng Ho
  • Chia‐Chun Lo
  • Andreas Karathanasopoulos
  • I‐Ming Jiang

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance in forecasting companys' stock prices and future returns. The forecasting analysis identifies a negative association between CSR performance and proxies of price delay. The negative CSR–delay association is weak for state‐owned enterprises (SOEs) because of their politically oriented motivation of CSR activities, but significantly strong for non‐SOEs. Furthermore, we find that forecasting delayed firms is expected to have higher future returns. In particular, the returns premium is most attributable to the CSR component of delay, compared with the non‐CSR component. Taken together, these results suggest that CSR performance plays a positive role in enhancing stock price efficiency, and a potential explanation is that CSR performance can be considered as additional information for equity predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yujing Gong & Kung‐Cheng Ho & Chia‐Chun Lo & Andreas Karathanasopoulos & I‐Ming Jiang, 2019. "Forecasting price delay and future stock returns: The role of corporate social responsibility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 354-373, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:38:y:2019:i:4:p:354-373
    DOI: 10.1002/for.2600
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    Cited by:

    1. Ho, Kung-Cheng & Yen, Huang-Ping & Lu, Canyi & Lee, Shih-Cheng, 2023. "Does information disclosure and transparency ranking system prevent the default risk of a firm?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1089-1105.
    2. Chen, Huihui & Ho, Kung-Cheng & Zhang, Ming & Zhang, Qidi, 2023. "Effect of managerial ability toward corporate social responsibility on enterprise default risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Zhang, Jitao & Yang, Yongliang, 2023. "Can environmental disclosure improve price efficiency? The perspective of price delay," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    4. Ho, Kung-Cheng & Shen, Xixi & Yan, Cheng & Hu, Xiang, 2023. "Influence of green innovation on disclosure quality: Mediating role of media attention," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    5. Ho, Kung-Cheng & Sun, Renji & Yang, Lei & Li, Hui-Min, 2023. "Information disclosure as a means of minimizing asymmetric financial reporting: The role of market reaction," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1221-1240.
    6. Kung-Cheng Ho & Hung-Yi Huang & Shengnan Liu, 2022. "Information disclosure ratings and managerial short-termism: An empirical investigation of the Chinese stock market," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 349-381, March.
    7. Zhou, Wei & Zhong, Guang-Yan & Li, Jiang-Cheng, 2022. "Stability of financial market driven by information delay and liquidity in delay agent-based model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
    8. Yujing Gong & Cheng Yan & Kung‐Cheng Ho, 2021. "The effect of managerial ability on corporate social responsibility and firm value in the energy industry," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(2), pages 581-594, March.
    9. An-Pin Wei & Chi-Lu Peng & Hao-Chen Huang & Shang-Pao Yeh, 2020. "Effects of Corporate Social Responsibility on Firm Performance: Does Customer Satisfaction Matter?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-18, September.

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