IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/hlthec/v34y2025i6p1103-1120.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Tobacco‐21 Laws on Maternal Smoking Behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Tim Bersak
  • Makayla Lavender
  • Lyudmyla Sonchak‐Ardan

Abstract

This study employs a logit difference‐in‐differences model to estimate the extent to which raising the tobacco purchasing age to 21 (T‐21) reduced the prevalence of smoking among mothers aged 18–20 both before and during their pregnancies. Using United States Vital Statistics data from 2012 to 2019, we estimate that counties which adopted T‐21, whether individually or as part of a state‐level policy, experienced small but statistically significant decreases in maternal smoking prior to and during their pregnancies. Our estimates also suggest that the decline in smoking during pregnancy is driven by fewer women smoking prior to pregnancy rather than increased quit rates during pregnancy. Finally, our estimation strategy also allows us to focus on the expansions in New York City and California, which are the locations with the largest number of impacted births in our sample. We estimate T‐21 decreased maternal smoking both prior to and during pregnancy in California by up to 14% from baseline. Other studies which examined T‐21 on a broader set of young adults have found larger reductions in smoking rates, suggesting that the subpopulation of young mothers who choose to smoke may be relatively less responsive to policies that raise the minimum purchase age of tobacco products.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Bersak & Makayla Lavender & Lyudmyla Sonchak‐Ardan, 2025. "Impact of Tobacco‐21 Laws on Maternal Smoking Behavior," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 1103-1120, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:hlthec:v:34:y:2025:i:6:p:1103-1120
    DOI: 10.1002/hec.4951
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4951
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/hec.4951?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pollack, H.A., 2001. "Sudden infant death syndrome, maternal smoking during pregnancy, and the cost-effectiveness of smoking cessation intervention," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 91(3), pages 432-436.
    2. Ji Yan, 2014. "The Effects of a Minimum Cigarette Purchase Age of 21 on Prenatal Smoking and Infant Health," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 40(3), pages 289-308, June.
    3. E. Kathleen Adams & Vincent P. Miller & Carla Ernst & Brenda K. Nishimura & Cathy Melvin & Robert Merritt, 2002. "Neonatal health care costs related to smoking during pregnancy," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(3), pages 193-206, April.
    4. Barkowski, Scott, 2021. "Interpretation of nonlinear difference-in-differences: the role of the parallel trends assumption," MPRA Paper 108975, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Isabel Martinez Leal & Matthew Taing & Virmarie Correa-Fernández & Ezemenari M. Obasi & Bryce Kyburz & Kathy Le & Litty Koshy & Tzuan A. Chen & Teresa Williams & Kathleen Casey & Daniel P. O’Connor & , 2021. "Addressing Smoking Cessation among Women in Substance Use Treatment: A Qualitative Approach to Guiding Tailored Interventions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-25, May.
    6. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    7. Jia Gao & Reagan A. Baughman, 2017. "Do Smoking Bans Improve Infant Health? Evidence from U.S. Births: 1995–2009," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 43(3), pages 472-495, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Brad R. Humphreys & Jane E. Ruseski & Li Zhou, 2025. "Why is Maternal Smoking in Appalachia Pervasive?," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 144-163, January.
    2. Jeffrey E. Harris & Ana Balsa & Patricia Triunfo, 2014. "Campaña antitabaco en Uruguay:Impacto en la decisión de dejar de fumar durante el embarazo y en el peso al nacer," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0114, Department of Economics - dECON.
    3. Jeffrey E. Harris & Ana Inés Balsa & Patricia Triunfo, 2014. "Tobacco Control Campaign in Uruguay: Impact on Smoking Cessation during Pregnancy," NBER Working Papers 19878, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Yadav, Anil & McHale, John & Harold, Jason & O'Neill, Stephen, 2024. "Estimating effects of staggered intervention with count and binary outcomes: a simulation study," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/24, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. Bas Scheer & Wiljan van den Berge & Maarten Goos & Alan Manning & Anna Salomons, 2022. "Alternative Work Arrangements and Worker Outcomes: Evidence from Payrolling," CPB Discussion Paper 435, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    6. Ichev, Riste & Valentinčič, Aljoša, 2025. "The effect of impact investing on performance of private firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    7. Mac Clay, Pablo & Börner, Jan & Sellare, Jorge, 2023. "Institutional and macroeconomic stability mediate the effect of auctions on renewable energy capacity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    8. Diegmann, André & Pohlan, Laura & Weber, Andrea, 2024. "Do Politicians Affect Firm Outcomes? Evidence from Connections to the German Federal Parliament," IZA Discussion Papers 17031, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Alex Hollingsworth & Krzysztof Karbownik & Melissa A. Thomasson & Anthony Wray, 2024. "The Gift of a Lifetime: The Hospital, Modern Medicine, and Mortality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(7), pages 2201-2238, July.
    10. Randall Akee & Maggie R. Jones & Emilia Simeonova, 2025. "Place Based Economic Development and Tribal Casinos," Working Papers 25-24, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    11. Catalina Amuedo‐Dorantes & Francisca M. Antman, 2022. "De facto immigration enforcement, ICE raid awareness, and worker engagement," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(1), pages 373-391, January.
    12. Ricardo Dahis & Christiane Szerman, 2023. "Decentralizing Development: Evidence from Government Splits," Monash Economics Working Papers 2023-18, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    13. Anderson, D. Mark & Liang, Yang & Sabia, Joseph J., 2022. "Mandatory Seatbelt Laws and Traffic Fatalities: A Reassessment," IZA Discussion Papers 15843, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Zhao, Jun, 2020. "Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 101-122.
    15. Binelli, Chiara & Comi, Simona & Meschi, Elena & Pagani, Laura, 2024. "Every cloud has a silver lining: The role of study time and class recordings on university students’ performance during COVID-19," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 305-328.
    16. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Do China and Russia undermine Western sanctions? Evidence from DiD and event study estimation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 132-160, February.
    17. Xiaozhou Ding & Christopher Bollinger & Michael Clark & William H. Hoyt, 2022. "Too Late to Buy a Home? School Redistricting and the Timing and Extent of Capitalization," CESifo Working Paper Series 9647, CESifo.
    18. Arne Henningsen & Guy Low & David Wuepper & Tobias Dalhaus & Hugo Storm & Dagim Belay & Stefan Hirsch, 2024. "Estimating Causal Effects with Observational Data: Guidelines for Agricultural and Applied Economists," IFRO Working Paper 2024/03, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    19. Stefan Bauernschuster & Michael Grimm & Cathy M. Hajo, 2023. "The Impact of Margaret Sanger’s Birth Control Clinics on Early 20th Century U.S. Fertility and Mortality," CESifo Working Paper Series 10421, CESifo.
    20. Fabio Bothner & Annette Elisabeth Töller & Paul Philipp Schnase, 2022. "Do Lawsuits by ENGOs Improve Environmental Quality? Results from the Field of Air Pollution Policy in Germany," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:hlthec:v:34:y:2025:i:6:p:1103-1120. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/5749 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.