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Testing for time-varying Granger causality

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher F Baum

    (Boston College
    DIW Berlin)

  • Stan Hurn

    (Queensland University of Technology)

  • Kenneth Lindsay

    (University of Glasgow)

  • Jesús Otero

    (Universidad del Rosario)

Abstract

The concept of Granger causality is an important tool in applied macroeconomics. Recently, recursive econometric methods have been developed to analyze the temporal stability of Granger-causal relationships. This article offers an implementation of these recursive procedures in Stata. An empirical example illustrates their use in analyzing the temporal stability of Granger causality among key U.S. macroeconomic series.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher F Baum & Stan Hurn & Kenneth Lindsay & Jesús Otero, 2022. "Testing for time-varying Granger causality," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 22(2), pages 355-378, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:tsj:stataj:v:22:y:2022:i:2:p:355-378
    DOI: 10.1177/1536867X221106403
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    Cited by:

    1. Elżbieta Szaruga & Elżbieta Załoga, 2022. "Environmental Management from the Point of View of the Energy Intensity of Road Freight Transport and Shocks," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-22, November.
    2. Galán-Gutiérrez, Juan Antonio & Labeaga, José M. & Martín-García, Rodrigo, 2023. "Cointegration between high base metals prices and backwardation: Getting ready for the metals super-cycle," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Festus Victor Bekun & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Ilhan Ozturk & Obadiah Jonathan Gimba, 2022. "Explosivity and Time-Varying Granger Causality: Evidence from the Bubble Contagion Effect of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty on Manufacturing Job Postings in the United States," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-17, December.
    4. İbrahim Özmen & Şerife Özşahin, 2023. "Effects of global energy and price fluctuations on Turkey's inflation: new evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2695-2728, August.
    5. Ramesh Adhikari & Kyle J. Putnam, 2024. "Financial Market Stress and Commodity Returns: A Dynamic Approach," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-23, January.

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