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The Current State of the Japanese Economy and Remedies

Author

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  • Naoyuki Yoshino

    (Professor of Economics Keio University 2-15-45 Mita Minato-ku Tokyo 108-8345 Japan,)

  • Eisuke Sakakibara

    (Professor Keio University Tokyo, Japan Former Vice Minister of Finance for International Affairs, Japan)

Abstract

Japan has reached the limits of conventional macroeconomic policies. Lowering interest rates will not stimulate the economy because widespread excess capacity has made private investment insensitive to interest rate changes. Increasing government expenditure in the usual way will have small effects because it will take the form of unproductive investment in the rural areas. Cutting taxes will not increase consumption because workers are concerned about job security and future pension and medical benefits. Expanding the monetary base will not induce banks to increase investment loans because the proportion of nonper-forming loans in their portfolios is growing because of the prolonged economic stagnation. In order for sustained economic recovery to occur in Japan, the government must change the makeup and regional allocation of public investments, resolve the problem of nonperforming loans in the banking system, improve the corporate governance and operations of the banks, and strengthen the international competitiveness of domestically oriented companies in the agriculture, construction, and service industries. Copyright (c) 2002 Center for International Development at Harvard University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Naoyuki Yoshino & Eisuke Sakakibara, 2002. "The Current State of the Japanese Economy and Remedies," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 1(2), pages 110-126.
  • Handle: RePEc:tpr:asiaec:v:1:y:2002:i:2:p:110-126
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hossain, Monzur & Rafiq, Farhana, 2011. "Asset Price Bubble and Banks: The Case of Japan," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 34(1), pages 23-38, March.
    2. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Nour Tawk, 2017. "Decline of oil prices and the negative interest rate policy in Japan," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 233-250, April.
    3. Paul D. McNelis, 2009. "Structural Change and Counterfactual Inflation-Targeting in Hong Kong," Working Papers 232009, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    4. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2016. "Causes and Remedies of the Japan's Long-lasting Recession: Lessons for China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 24(2), pages 23-47, March.
    5. Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2014. "Effectiveness of the Easing of Monetary Policy in the Japanese Economy, Incorporating Energy Prices," ADBI Working Papers 503, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    6. Arne Bigsten, 2005. "Can Japan Make a Comeback?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 595-606, April.
    7. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Hiroaki Miyamoto, 2017. "The Ineffectiveness of Japan’s Negative Interest Rate Policy," ADB Institute Series on Development Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary (ed.), Japan’s Lost Decade, chapter 0, pages 147-168, Springer.
    8. Ms. Anita Tuladhar & Markus Bruckner, 2010. "Public Investment as a Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from Japan’s Regional Spending During the 1990s," IMF Working Papers 2010/110, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Farhad Taghizadeh‐Hesary & Naoyuki Yoshino & Sayoko Shimizu, 2020. "The impact of monetary and tax policy on income inequality in Japan," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(10), pages 2600-2621, October.
    10. Isabelle Joumard & Tadashi Yokoyama, 2005. "Getting the Most Out of Public Sector Decentralisation in Japan," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 416, OECD Publishing.
    11. Alan G. Ahearne & Joseph E. Gagnon & Jane Haltmaier & Steven Scott MacDonald, 2002. "Preventing deflation: lessons from Japan's experience in the 1990s," International Finance Discussion Papers 729, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Hossain, Monzur, 2004. "Did The Asset Price Bubble Matter For Japanese Banking Crisis In The 1990s?," MPRA Paper 24738, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Masahito Ambashi, 2017. "Competition Effects and Industrial Productivity: Lessons from Japanese Industry," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 16(3), pages 212-249, Fall.
    14. Hossain, Monzur, 2005. "Financial Deregulation and Crisis:An ‘Agency-conflict’ Case of Japan," MPRA Paper 24856, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Hossain, Monzur, 2005. "Financial Deregulations, Conflict of Interest and Banking Crisis in Japan: A Decision-theoretic-GARCH Approach to Analyze the Management Behavior," MPRA Paper 24858, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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