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Accelerating Car Scrappage: A Review of Research into the Environmental Impacts

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  • Bert Van Wee
  • Gerard De Jong
  • Hans Nijland

Abstract

This paper reviews the literature on policies that aim to accelerate car scrappage and on related models. We conclude that substantial model efforts have been made to capture the direct reaction of households with older cars to the scrappage schemes, but that indirect effects on the second-hand car market, effects on car use and emissions from car use and on lifecycle emissions have received far less attention. Emission effects are modest and occur only in the short term. The cost-effectiveness of scrapping schemes is often quite poor. The most favourable cost-effectiveness scores occur in large densely populated areas, and only (or mainly) if cars with old (or no) emissions control technologies are scrapped. A full overview of the pros and cons of scrapping schemes, including all the dominant effects and their determinants in an advanced way, is lacking. Nevertheless, we think the general conclusions with respect to the effects and cost-effectiveness as presented above are quite robust.

Suggested Citation

  • Bert Van Wee & Gerard De Jong & Hans Nijland, 2011. "Accelerating Car Scrappage: A Review of Research into the Environmental Impacts," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(5), pages 549-569.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transr:v:31:y:2011:i:5:p:549-569
    DOI: 10.1080/01441647.2011.564331
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    Cited by:

    1. Marin, Giovanni & Zoboli, Roberto, 2020. "Effectiveness of car scrappage schemes: Counterfactual-based evidence on the Italian experience," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    2. Zheng, Jihu & Zhou, Yan & Yu, Rujie & Zhao, Dongchang & Lu, Zifeng & Zhang, Peng, 2019. "Survival rate of China passenger vehicles: A data-driven approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 587-597.
    3. Giovanni Marin & Roberto Zoboli, 2018. "Upgrading the car fleet: evidence from an Italian scrappage scheme," SEEDS Working Papers 1418, SEEDS, Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, revised Dec 2018.
    4. Balaguer, Jacint & Pernías, José C. & Ripollés, Jordi, 2023. "Is vehicle scrapping affected by low-emission zones? The case of Madrid," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    5. Huang, Zhenhua & Fan, Hongqin, 2022. "Responsibility-sharing subsidy policy for reducing diesel emissions from in-use off-road construction equipment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).

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