IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/jpropr/v20y2003i3p207-234.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empirical evidence on the micro and macro forecasting ability of real estate funds

Author

Listed:
  • Stephen Lee
  • Simon Stevenson

Abstract

The performance of a sample of real estate funds over the period 1989-2001 is analysed in order to assess the fund manager's selection and timing ability. In addition to conventional performance measures a number of alternative techniques are also used in order to overcome potential biases present in CAPM based models. The results reveal that on average the funds display poor asset selection ability, while the timing results are to some degree dependent on the model used. Specification tests reveal little evidence of misspecification in the models tested.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Lee & Simon Stevenson, 2003. "Empirical evidence on the micro and macro forecasting ability of real estate funds," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 207-234, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jpropr:v:20:y:2003:i:3:p:207-234
    DOI: 10.1080/0959991032000162356
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0959991032000162356
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/0959991032000162356?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lee, Cheng Few & Rahman, Shafiqur, 1990. "Market Timing, Selectivity, and Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Investigation," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(2), pages 261-278, April.
    2. Carl R. Chen & Steve Stockum, 1986. "Selectivity, Market Timing, And Random Beta Behavior Of Mutual Funds: A Generalized Model," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 9(1), pages 87-96, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    2. Romacho, Joao Carlos & Cortez, Maria Ceu, 2006. "Timing and selectivity in Portuguese mutual fund performance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 348-368, September.
    3. Kathryn A. Holmes & Robert W. Faff, 2004. "Stability, Asymmetry and Seasonality of Fund Performance: An Analysis of Australian Multi‐sector Managed Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3‐4), pages 539-578, April.
    4. Kathryn A. Holmes & Robert W. Faff, 2004. "Stability, Asymmetry and Seasonality of Fund Performance: An Analysis of Australian Multi‐sector Managed Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3‐4), pages 539-578, April.
    5. Brahmadev Panda & Rudra Prasanna Mahapatra & Samson Moharana, 2015. "Myth of Equity Mutual Fund Performance," Vision, , vol. 19(3), pages 200-209, September.
    6. Muhammad Zeeshan & Jiabin Han & Alam Rehman & Kashif Saleem & Raza Ullah Shah & Amir Ishaque & Naveed Farooq & Arif Hussain, 2020. "Conventional Mutual Funds Out Perform Islamic Mutual Funds in the Context of Pakistan. A Myth or Reality," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 151-157.
    7. David A. Volkman, 1999. "Market Volatility And Perverse Timing Performance Of Mutual Fund Managers," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 22(4), pages 449-470, December.
    8. Sanaullah & Muhammad Shahbaz Khan & Dr. Amna Noor & Salleh Khan, 2021. "An Investigation of Market Timing Ability of Mutual Fund Managers in Pakistan," iRASD Journal of Management, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 3(1), pages 56-68, june.
    9. D. K. Malhotra & Robert W. McLeod, 1997. "An Empirical Analysis Of Mutual Fund Expenses," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(2), pages 175-190, June.
    10. Chen, Li-Wen & Adams, Andrew & Taffler, Richard, 2013. "What style-timing skills do mutual fund “stars” possess?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 156-173.
    11. Fabrice Hervé, 2006. "Les fonds de pension protègent-ils les investisseurs des évolutions du marché?," Working Papers CREGO 1060101, Université de Bourgogne - CREGO EA7317 Centre de recherches en gestion des organisations.
    12. Benjamin R. Auer, 2019. "Does the strength of capital market anomalies exhibit seasonal patterns?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(1), pages 91-103, January.
    13. Matallin-Saez Juan Carlos, 2008. "The Dynamics of Mutual Funds and Market Timing Measurement," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(4), pages 1-37, December.
    14. Ishaq Hacini & Khadra Dahou & Mohamed Benbouziane, 2012. "Investment style of Jordanian mutual funds," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 5(2), pages 113-127, August.
    15. Keith Cuthbertson & Dirk Nitzsche & Niall O'Sullivan, 2010. "The Market Timing Ability of UK Mutual Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1-2), pages 270-289.
    16. Adam Clements & Michael E. Drew, 2007. "Institutional Homogeneity and Choice in Superannuation," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 218, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    17. Friesen, Geoffrey C. & Sapp, Travis R.A., 2007. "Mutual fund flows and investor returns: An empirical examination of fund investor timing ability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 2796-2816, September.
    18. Patro, Dilip Kumar, 2001. "Measuring performance of international closed-end funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1741-1767, September.
    19. Venessa S. Tchamyou & Simplice A. Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2018. "Effects of asymmetric information on market timing in the mutual fund industry," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(5), pages 542-557, May.
    20. Lo, Andrew W. & Mackinlay, A. Craig, 1997. "Maximizing Predictability In The Stock And Bond Markets," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(1), pages 102-134, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:jpropr:v:20:y:2003:i:3:p:207-234. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RJPR20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.