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Testing for persistence in mutual fund performance and the ex-post verification problem: evidence from the Greek market

Author

Listed:
  • Vassilios Babalos
  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Alexandros Kostakis
  • Nikolaos Philippas

Abstract

The present study examines a series of performance measures with the aim of solving the ex-post verification problem. These measures are employed to test the performance persistence hypothesis of domestic equity funds in Greece, during the period 1998-2004. Correctly adjusting for risk factors and documented portfolio strategies explains a significant part of the reported persistence. The intercept of the augmented Carhart regression is proposed as the most appropriate performance measure. Using this measure, weak evidence for persistence, only before 2001, is documented. The growth of the fund industry, the direction of flows to past winners and the integration in the international financial system are suggested to be the reasons for the absence of performance persistence.

Suggested Citation

  • Vassilios Babalos & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alexandros Kostakis & Nikolaos Philippas, 2008. "Testing for persistence in mutual fund performance and the ex-post verification problem: evidence from the Greek market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 735-753.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:14:y:2008:i:8:p:735-753
    DOI: 10.1080/13518470802173248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dirk Nitzsche & Keith Cuthbertson & Niall O'Sullivan, 2005. "Mutual Fund Performance: Skill Or Luck?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 4, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    2. Christensen, Michael, 2005. "Danish Mutual Fund Performance - Selectivity, Market Timing and Persistence," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2005-01, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
    3. Spencer, Peter D., 2000. "The Structure and Regulation of Financial Markets," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198776109.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Reza TAVAKOLI BAGHDADABAD & Afsaneh NOORI HOUSHYAR, 2014. "Productivity and Efficiency Evaluation of US Mutual Funds," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 64(2), pages 120-143, March.
    2. Babalos, Vassilios & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Philippas, Nikolaos, 2012. "Efficiency evaluation of Greek equity funds," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 317-333.
    3. Farah Naz & Hafsa Khan & Muhammad Ishfaq Ahmad & Ramiz Ur Rehman & Muhammad Akram Naseem, 2019. "Productivity and efficiency analysis of Pakistani mutual funds using Malmquist index approach," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(03), pages 1-21, September.
    4. Costas Siriopoulos & Maria Skaperda, 2020. "Investing in mutual funds: are you paying for performance or for the ties of the manager?," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 153-164.
    5. Babalos, Vassilios & Kostakis, Alexandros & Philippas, Nikolaos, 2009. "Managing mutual funds or managing expense ratios? Evidence from the Greek fund industry," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 256-272, October.
    6. Matallín-Sáez, Juan Carlos & Soler-Domínguez, Amparo & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2016. "On the robustness of persistence in mutual fund performance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 192-231.
    7. Timotej Jagric & Boris Podobnik & Sebastian Strasek & Vita Jagric, 2007. "Risk-Adjusted Performance of Mutual Funds: Some Tests," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 5(2), pages 233-244.
    8. Mamatzakis, E & Babalos, Vassilios & filipas, n, 2013. "Fund Performance Evaluation in Greece Revisited: Evidence from the Impact of Operational Attributes," MPRA Paper 51640, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Dimitrios V Kousenidis & Christos Negakis, 2013. "The Underperformance of Young Closed-End Funds in Greece," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 17(1-2), pages 107-148, March - J.
    10. Babalos, Vassilios & Philippas, Nikolaos & Doumpos, Michael & Zompounidis, Constantin, 2011. "Mutual funds performance appraisal using stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis," MPRA Paper 37953, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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