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Local Linear Estimation of a Nonparametric Cointegration Model

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  • Zhongwen Liang
  • Zhongjian Lin
  • Cheng Hsiao

Abstract

The nonparametric local linear method has superior properties compared with the local constant method in the independent and weak dependent data setting, see e.g. Fan and Gijbels (1996). Recently, much attention has been drawn to the nonparametric models with nonstationary data. Wang and Phillips (2009a) studied the asymptotic property of a local constant estimator of a nonparametric regression model with a nonstationary I(1) regressor. Sun and Li (2011) show a surprising result that for a semiparamtric varying coefficient model with nonstationary I(1) regressors, the local linear estimator has a faster rate of convergence than the local constant estimator. In this article, we study the asymptotic behavior of the local linear estimator for the same nonparametric regression model as considered by Wang and Phillips (2009a). We focus on the derivation of the joint asymptotic result of both the unknown regression function and its derivative function. We also examine the performance of the local linear estimator with the bandwidth selected by the data driven least squares cross validation (LS-CV) method. Simulation results show that the local linear estimator, coupled with the LS-CV selected bandwidth, enjoys substantial efficiency gains over the local constant estimator.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhongwen Liang & Zhongjian Lin & Cheng Hsiao, 2015. "Local Linear Estimation of a Nonparametric Cointegration Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 882-906, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:34:y:2015:i:6-10:p:882-906
    DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.956610
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. P. C. B. Phillips & S. N. Durlauf, 1986. "Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 53(4), pages 473-495.
    2. Yiguo Sun & Qi Li, 2011. "Data-Driven Bandwidth Selection for Nonstationary Semiparametric Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 541-551, October.
    3. Park, Joon Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 2001. "Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 117-161, January.
    4. Cai, Zongwu & Li, Qi & Park, Joon Y., 2009. "Functional-coefficient models for nonstationary time series data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(2), pages 101-113, February.
    5. Gu, Jingping & Liang, Zhongwen, 2014. "Testing cointegration relationship in a semiparametric varying coefficient model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 57-70.
    6. Xiao, Zhijie, 2009. "Functional-coefficient cointegration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 81-92, October.
    7. Liu, Zhenjun & Stengos, Thanasis & Li, Qi, 2000. "Nonparametric model check based on local polynomial fitting," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 327-334, July.
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