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Analysing job creation effects of scaling up infrastructure spending in South Africa

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  • Margaret Chitiga
  • Ramos Mabugu
  • Hélène Maisonnave

Abstract

In a first for South Africa, this article draws on literature on infrastructure productivity to model dynamic economy-wide employment impacts of infrastructure investment funded with different fiscal tools. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model, the South African investment plan is modelled, given the infrastructure externality. Alternative fiscal scenarios to finance the policy are modelled in the article. In the long run, unemployment decreases for all types of workers under one of the scenarios. In the short run, only elementary occupation workers benefit from a decrease in unemployment; for the rest, unemployment rises.

Suggested Citation

  • Margaret Chitiga & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave, 2016. "Analysing job creation effects of scaling up infrastructure spending in South Africa," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 186-202, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:deveza:v:33:y:2016:i:2:p:186-202
    DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2015.1120650
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    1. Mbanda, Vandudzai & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2018. "Impacts of Public Infrastructure Investment in South Africa: A SAM and CGE-Based Analysis of the Public Economic Sector," MPRA Paper 90613, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Montaud, Jean-Marc & Pecastaing, Nicolas & Tankari, Mahamadou, 2017. "Potential socio-economic implications of future climate change and variability for Nigerien agriculture: A countrywide dynamic CGE-Microsimulation analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 128-142.
    3. Alkassoum Sangare, Saadatou & Maisonnave, Helene, 2018. "Mining and petroleum boom and public spending policies in Niger: a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis," Conference papers 332982, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Jorge Davalos & Jean-Marc Montaud & Nicolas Pecastaing, 2019. "Potential effect of Scaling-up Iinfrastructure in Peru: a general equilibrium model-bases analysis," Working Papers hal-02937833, HAL.
    5. Mbanda, Vandudzai & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2023. "Municipal Infrastructure Spending Capacity in South Africa: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Approach," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 76(1), pages 41-64.
    6. Jean-Marc Montaud & Jorge Dávalos & Nicolas Pécastaing, 2020. "Potential effects of scaling-up infrastructure in Peru: a general equilibrium model-based analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(27), pages 2895-2912, May.
    7. Lofgren, Hans & Cicowiez, Martin, 2021. "Infrastructure in CGE models: Alternative formulations, empirical evidence, and a new approach," Conference papers 333280, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Asiya Maskaeva & Mgeni Msafiri, 2021. "Youth unemployment hysteresis in South Africa: Macro-micro analysis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-20, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Mbanda, Vandudzai & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2019. "Municipal infrastructure spending capacity in South Africa: a panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) approach," MPRA Paper 91499, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Thomas Habanabakize & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2017. "Analysis of Government Expenditure and Sectoral Employment in the Post-apartheid South Africa: Application of ARDL Model," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(2), pages 224-233.
    11. Habanabakize Thomas & Muzindutsi Paul-Francois, 2018. "Analysis of the Keynesian Theory of Employment and Sectoral Job Creation: The Case of the South African Manufacturing Sector," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 123-143, June.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • H59 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Other

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