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Excessive private sector leverage and its drivers: evidence from advanced economies

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  • Mariusz Jarmuzek
  • Rossen Rozenov

Abstract

The paper provides novel quantitative assessments of the gaps between actual and sustainable levels of debt for households and corporates in selected advanced economies, revealing considerable heterogeneity across sectors and countries. The accumulation of gaps is found to precede financial distress. The paper also identifies key factors that drive excessive debt, separately for households and corporates. For households, excessive leverage is found to be higher in countries with lower interest rates and higher share of working population, but importantly also in countries with rising house prices and greater uncertainty as captured by unemployment. For corporates, debt overhang is estimated to be higher in countries with lower profitability, stronger insolvency frameworks and in absence of thin capitalization rules. There is therefore scope for the use of policy to limit the build-up of household and corporate debt overhang.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariusz Jarmuzek & Rossen Rozenov, 2019. "Excessive private sector leverage and its drivers: evidence from advanced economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(34), pages 3787-3803, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3787-3803
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584383
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    Cited by:

    1. Benyan Tan & Yingzhu Guo & Yan Wu, 2024. "The influence and mechanism of female-headed households on household debt risk: empirical evidence from China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    2. Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2018. "Nonfinancial debt and economic growth in euro-area countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 17-37.
    3. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Leonor Coutinho & Alessandro Turrini & Stefan Zeugner, 2020. "Is Private Debt Excessive?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 471-512, April.
    4. Gareth Anderson & Mr. Mehdi Raissi, 2018. "Corporate Indebtedness and Low Productivity Growth of Italian Firms," IMF Working Papers 2018/033, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Stanislav Klazar & Barbora Slintáková, 2019. "Vliv zdanění příjmů na zadlužení nefinančních podniků [Influence of Income Taxation on Indebtedness of Non-financial Firms]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 253-272.
    6. Héctor Alonso Olivares-Aguayo & Maivelin Méndez-Molina & Eduardo Madrigal-Castillo, 2021. "Salud financiera en créditos hipotecarios mexicanos," Revista CEA, Instituto Tecnológico Metropolitano, vol. 7(13), pages 1-31, January.
    7. Carvalho, Daniel, 2020. "Leverage and valuation effects: How global liquidity shapes sectoral balance sheets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Apostolos Fasianos & Reamonn Lydon, 2022. "Do households with debt cut back their consumption more? New evidence from the United Kingdom," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 737-760, July.
    9. Martin Cesnak, 2023. "Decomposition of retail loan growth," Working and Discussion Papers OP 1/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    10. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Aurora Mordonu, 2017. "Interlinkages Between Household and Corporate Debt in Advanced Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(5), pages 1029-1055, November.
    11. Mariusz Jarmuzek & Esteban R. Vesperoni, 2018. "The role of debt profile vulnerabilities in sovereign distress," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(13), pages 928-935, July.
    12. Massimo Coletta & Riccardo De Bonis & Stefano Piermattei, 2019. "Household Debt in OECD Countries: The Role of Supply-Side and Demand-Side Factors," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(3), pages 1185-1217, June.
    13. Diega Caprara & Riccardo De Bonis & Luigi Infante, 2018. "Household wealth in Italy and in advanced countries," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 470, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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