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Reactions of real yields and inflation expectations to forward guidance in the United States

Listed author(s):
  • Richhild Moessner

We study the impact of forward policy rate guidance by the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) used as an unconventional monetary policy tool at the zero lower bound of the policy rate on real and breakeven US Treasury yield curves. We find that explicit FOMC policy rate guidance announcements led to a significant reduction in real yields at horizons of 2 to 5 years ahead. By contrast, long-term breakeven inflation rates were little affected, suggesting that inflation expectations have remained well anchored, and that explicit FOMC policy rate guidance has not adversely affected central bank credibility.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008759
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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 47 (2015)
Issue (Month): 26 (June)
Pages: 2671-2682

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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2671-2682
DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008759
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