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The effects of oil price shocks on expenditure category CPI

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  • Yasunori Yoshizaki
  • Shigeyuki Haomori

Abstract

In this study, we apply a two-block structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model proposed by Kilian and Park (2009) in order to investigate the dynamic effects of changes in oil price on the expenditure category consumer price index (CPI) in the United States and Japan. Our results confirm that each expenditure category price index responded very differently to the same structural shock, and that whether changes in oil price function as a positive stimulus or a negative shock for the individual expenditure category prices also depends on the kind of underlying shock that drives the changes in oil price. Finally, our results also reveal that the manner in which changes in oil price affect each expenditure category price differs between the United States and Japan and these detailed-level differences may lead to aggregate-level differences in the price response of both countries to changes in oil price.

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  • Yasunori Yoshizaki & Shigeyuki Haomori, 2014. "The effects of oil price shocks on expenditure category CPI," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(14), pages 1652-1664, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1652-1664
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881977
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    Cited by:

    1. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Oil price–inflation pass-through in Romania during the inflation targeting regime," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(15), pages 1527-1542, March.
    2. Zhou, Ying-Zhe & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2019. "Time-varying effect of the financialization of nonferrous metals markets on China's industrial sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Naurin, Abida & Qayyum, Abdul, 2016. "Impact of Oil Price and Its Volatility on CPI of Pakistan: Bivariate EGARCH Model," MPRA Paper 69774, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jinyu Chen & Xuehong Zhu, 2021. "The Effects of Different Types of Oil Price Shocks on Industrial PPI: Evidence from 36 Sub-industries in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3411-3434, September.
    5. Zhang, Yulian & He, Xie & Nakajima, Tadahiro & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2020. "Oil, Gas, or Financial Conditions-Which One Has a Stronger Link with Growth?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.

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