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Efficiency in the NFL betting market: modifying and consolidating research methods

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  • William Dare
  • A. Steven Holland

Abstract

Modifying and consolidating previous research methods to generate more reliable estimates, some fairly weak evidence is found of inefficiency in the NFL betting market resulting from a bias favouring home underdog (against away favourite) teams. In contrast to previous research, no evidence is found that 'momentum strategies' generate significant returns in this market.

Suggested Citation

  • William Dare & A. Steven Holland, 2004. "Efficiency in the NFL betting market: modifying and consolidating research methods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 9-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:9-15
    DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177152
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Russo, Benjamin & Gandar, John M. & Zuber, Richard A., 1989. "Market rationality tests based on cross-equation restrictions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 455-470, November.
    2. Gray, Philip K & Gray, Stephen F, 1997. "Testing Market Efficiency: Evidence from the NFL Sports Betting Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1725-1737, September.
    3. repec:bla:jfinan:v:43:y:1988:i:4:p:995-1008 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Golec, Joseph & Tamarkin, Maurry, 1991. "The degree of inefficiency in the football betting market : Statistical tests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 311-323, December.
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