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Comparative Effectiveness of Reservoir Operation Applying Hedging Rules Based on Available Water and Beginning Storage to Cope with Droughts

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  • Youngkyu Jin

    (Pukyong National University)

  • Sangho Lee

    (Pukyong National University)

Abstract

The discrete hedging rule which runs through several hedging phases can be an effective method for water supply operation from a reservoir during drought periods. This paper aims to derive two different hedging rule curves of a reservoir: one rule is based on available water that accompanies prediction of the current period inflow and the other rule is based on the beginning storage alone. The current period inflow was obtained by the ensemble streamflow prediction using historical precipitation data. A mixed integer programming algorithm was used to determine hedging rule curves for water supply operation of Hapcheon dam, the Republic of Korea for the period from 1990 to 2005 that included a drought period. Complying with the derived hedging rules, reservoir simulation runs for the period from 2006 to 2010 were performed. The derived hedging rule curves based on the beginning storage were placed higher than the curves based on available water and induced earlier rationing of water supply. The rule based on available water included the current period inflow and its simulation resulted in faster recovery to the normal phase of water supply when the drought ended. The simulation results applying the rule based on available water were 25% better in terms of the total water supply deficit and reliability; they, however, were 5% worse on the vulnerability. When predicted inflow is not reliable, the hedging rule based on the beginning storage might be worth in practical reservoir operation to avoid severer shortage resulted from the bad prediction of the inflow.

Suggested Citation

  • Youngkyu Jin & Sangho Lee, 2019. "Comparative Effectiveness of Reservoir Operation Applying Hedging Rules Based on Available Water and Beginning Storage to Cope with Droughts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(5), pages 1897-1911, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:5:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02220-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02220-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shinuk Kang & Sangho Lee & Taeuk Kang, 2017. "Development and Application of Storage-Zone Decision Method for Long-Term Reservoir Operation Using the Dynamically Dimensioned Search Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 219-232, January.
    2. A. Adeloye & B.-S. Soundharajan & C. Ojha & R. Remesan, 2016. "Effect of Hedging-Integrated Rule Curves on the Performance of the Pong Reservoir (India) During Scenario-Neutral Climate Change Perturbations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 445-470, January.
    3. T. Neelakantan & N. Pundarikanthan, 1999. "Hedging Rule Optimisation for Water Supply Reservoirs System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 13(6), pages 409-426, December.
    4. Shih, Jhih-Shyang & ReVelle, Charles, 1995. "Water supply operations during drought: A discrete hedging rule," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 163-175, April.
    5. J. Shiau & H. Lee, 2005. "Derivation of Optimal Hedging Rules for a Water-supply Reservoir through Compromise Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(2), pages 111-132, April.
    6. A. J. Adeloye & B.-S. Soundharajan & C. S. P. Ojha & R. Remesan, 2016. "Effect of Hedging-Integrated Rule Curves on the Performance of the Pong Reservoir (India) During Scenario-Neutral Climate Change Perturbations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 445-470, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Hsu-Hui Wen & I-Wen Su, 2021. "Comparing Optimal Hedging Policies Incorporating Past Operation Information and Future Hydrologic Information," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(7), pages 2177-2196, May.
    2. Luis Garrote & Alfredo Granados & Mike Spiliotis & Francisco Martin-Carrasco, 2023. "Effectiveness of Adaptive Operating Rules for Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2527-2542, May.
    3. Soe Thiha & Asaad Y. Shamseldin & Bruce W. Melville, 2022. "Improving the Summer Power Generation of a Hydropower Reservoir Using the Modified Multi-Step Ahead Time-Varying Hedging Rule," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(3), pages 853-873, February.
    4. Jaenam Lee & Hyungjin Shin, 2022. "Agricultural Reservoir Operation Strategy Considering Climate and Policy Changes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-13, July.
    5. Pedro Beça & António C. Rodrigues & João P. Nunes & Paulo Diogo & Babar Mujtaba, 2023. "Optimizing Reservoir Water Management in a Changing Climate," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3423-3437, July.
    6. Mostaghimzadeh, Ehsan & Adib, Arash & Ashrafi, Seyed Mohammad & Kisi, Ozgur, 2022. "Investigation of a composite two-phase hedging rule policy for a multi reservoir system using streamflow forecast," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).

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