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A GIS Framework for Changing Cropping Pattern Under Different Climate Conditions and Irrigation Availability Scenarios

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  • Ying Wang
  • Yun Chen
  • Shizhang Peng

Abstract

Irrigation water availability is a main driver which determines cropping patterns for an irrigation area. Irrigation water availability will potentially reduce due to changes in climate and irrigation extraction limits. Cropping patterns should be adjusted to meet this challenge. This study presents a new approach for assessing future cropping patterns using GIS in combination with an Irrigation Water Availability Simulation model (IWAS) at irrigation area scale. The IWAS-GIS framework was developed for analysis of cropping pattern options based on the forecast of irrigation water availability in 2030 for the Murrumbidgee Irrigation Area (MIA) which is one of the most important irrigation areas in Australia. Six scenarios considering climatic conditions and the irrigation availabilities were input into the IWAS-GIS framework to simulate cropping pattern changes corresponding to predicted monthly irrigation water availability. Cropping patterns were designed by integration of soil type and irrigation water availability to improve irrigation sustainability. Simulations results indicate that the total irrigated areas will likely decrease with drier climate and less irrigation availability. Rice and pasture areas change significantly when climate and irrigation availability varies. Under the same climate condition, horticulture area increases when irrigation availability decrease. The percentage of lands which are unsuitable for cropping has reduced with the drying climate and shrinking irrigation availability. The IWAS-GIS is simple to implement and provides an easy way for assessing spatial cropping pattern changes based on irrigation water availability. This framework was developed to help irrigators plan cropping patterns corresponding to irrigation water availability. It is flexible to be adopted for similar applications in other irrigation areas. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Ying Wang & Yun Chen & Shizhang Peng, 2011. "A GIS Framework for Changing Cropping Pattern Under Different Climate Conditions and Irrigation Availability Scenarios," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3073-3090, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:13:p:3073-3090
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9846-6
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    1. B. Sonneveld & M. Keyzer & P. Adegbola & S. Pande, 2012. "The Impact of Climate Change on Crop Production in West Africa: An Assessment for the Oueme River Basin in Benin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(2), pages 553-579, January.
    2. Mwehe Mathenge & Ben G. J. S. Sonneveld & Jacqueline E. W. Broerse, 2022. "Application of GIS in Agriculture in Promoting Evidence-Informed Decision Making for Improving Agriculture Sustainability: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-15, August.
    3. Yi Cai & Yasuhiro Mitani & Hiro Ikemi & Shuguang Liu, 2012. "Effect of Precipitation Timescale Selection on Tempo-spatial Assessment of Paddy Water Demand in Chikugo-Saga Plain, Japan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1731-1746, April.
    4. Yun Chen & Shahbaz Khan & Tariq Rana & Akhtar Abbas & Heinz Buettikofer, 2012. "Three Dimensional Conceptualisation of Hydrogeological Environment to Underpin Groundwater Management in Irrigation Area," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(11), pages 3077-3093, September.
    5. S. Dutta & B.C. Sahoo & Rajashree Mishra & S. Acharya, 2016. "Fuzzy Stochastic Genetic Algorithm for Obtaining Optimum Crops Pattern and Water Balance in a Farm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4097-4123, September.
    6. A. Ghumman & R. Khan & Q. Khan & Z. Khan, 2012. "Modeling for Various Design Options of a Canal System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(8), pages 2383-2395, June.
    7. Daniela D’Agostino & Alessandra Scardigno & Nicola Lamaddalena & Daniel Chami, 2014. "Sensitivity Analysis of Coupled Hydro-Economic Models: Quantifying Climate Change Uncertainty for Decision-Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4303-4318, September.

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