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Deriving Reservoir Refill Operating Rules by Using the Proposed DPNS Model

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  • Pan Liu
  • Shenglian Guo
  • Lihua Xiong
  • Wei Li
  • Honggang Zhang

Abstract

The dynamic programming neural-network simplex (DPNS) model, which is aimed at making some improvements to the dynamic programming neural-network (DPN) model, is proposed and used to derive refill operating rules in reservoir planning and management. The DPNS model consists of three stages. First, the training data set (reservoir optimal sequences of releases) is searched by using the dynamic programming (DP) model to solve the deterministic refill operation problem. Second, with the training data set obtained, the artificial neural network (ANN) model representing the operating rules is trained through back-propagation (BP) algorithm. These two stages construct the standard DPN model. The third stage of DPNS is proposed to refine the operating rules through simulation-based optimization. By choosing maximum the hydropower generation as objective function, a nonlinear programming technique, Simplex method, is used to refine the final output of the DPN model. Both the DPNS and DPN models are used to derive operating rules for the real time refill operation of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) for the year of 2007. It is shown that the DPNS model can improve not only the probability of refill but also the mean hydropower generation when compare with that of the DPN model. It's recommended that the objective function of ANN approach for deriving refill operating rules should maximize the yield or minimize the loss, which can be computed from reservoir simulation during the refill period, rather than to fit the optimal data set as well as possible. And the derivation of optimal or near-optimal operating rules can be carried out effectively and efficiently using the proposed DPNS model. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Pan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Lihua Xiong & Wei Li & Honggang Zhang, 2006. "Deriving Reservoir Refill Operating Rules by Using the Proposed DPNS Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(3), pages 337-357, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:20:y:2006:i:3:p:337-357
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-006-0322-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. Cancelliere & G. Giuliano & A. Ancarani & G. Rossi, 2002. "A Neural Networks Approach for Deriving Irrigation Reservoir Operating Rules," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(1), pages 71-88, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Xiaowei Xu & Jionghong Chen, 2011. "Derivation of Aggregation-Based Joint Operating Rule Curves for Cascade Hydropower Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3177-3200, October.
    2. Onur Hınçal & A. Altan-Sakarya & A. Metin Ger, 2011. "Optimization of Multireservoir Systems by Genetic Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(5), pages 1465-1487, March.
    3. Feng, Zhong-kai & Niu, Wen-jing & Cheng, Chun-tian & Liao, Sheng-li, 2017. "Hydropower system operation optimization by discrete differential dynamic programming based on orthogonal experiment design," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 720-732.
    4. Xinyuan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Pan Liu & Lu Chen & Xiang Li, 2011. "Deriving Optimal Refill Rules for Multi-Purpose Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(2), pages 431-448, January.
    5. Aili Xie & Pan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Xiaoqi Zhang & Hao Jiang & Guang Yang, 2018. "Optimal Design of Seasonal Flood Limited Water Levels by Jointing Operation of the Reservoir and Floodplains," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(1), pages 179-193, January.
    6. Kairong Lin & Youqin Lin & Pan Liu & Yanhu He & Xinjun Tu, 2016. "Considering the Order and Symmetry to Improve the Traditional RVA for Evaluation of Hydrologic Alteration of River Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(14), pages 5501-5516, November.
    7. Wang Zhang & Pan Liu & Xizhen Chen & Li Wang & Xueshan Ai & Maoyuan Feng & Dedi Liu & Yuanyuan Liu, 2016. "Optimal Operation of Multi-reservoir Systems Considering Time-lags of Flood Routing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 523-540, January.
    8. Deepti Rani & Maria Moreira, 2010. "Simulation–Optimization Modeling: A Survey and Potential Application in Reservoir Systems Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(6), pages 1107-1138, April.
    9. Zhuowei Shen & Pan Liu & Bo Ming & Maoyuan Feng & Xiaoqi Zhang & He Li & Aili Xie, 2018. "Deriving Optimal Operating Rules of a Multi-Reservoir System Considering Incremental Multi-Agent Benefit Allocation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(11), pages 3629-3645, September.
    10. Gong, Yu & Liu, Pan & Ming, Bo & Li, Dingfang, 2021. "Identifying the effect of forecast uncertainties on hybrid power system operation: A case study of Longyangxia hydro–photovoltaic plant in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1303-1321.
    11. Yang, Zhikai & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Lei & Liu, Deli & Ming, Bo & Li, He & Xia, Qian, 2021. "Sizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower plant considering the effects of climate change: A case study in the Longyangxia of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    12. Pan Liu & Tri-Dung Nguyen & Ximing Cai & Xinhao Jiang, 2012. "Finding Multiple Optimal Solutions to Optimal Load Distribution Problem in Hydropower Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 5(5), pages 1-20, May.
    13. Gong, Yu & Liu, Pan & Liu, Yini & Huang, Kangdi, 2021. "Robust operation interval of a large-scale hydro-photovoltaic power system to cope with emergencies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    14. Wang Zhang & Pan Liu & Xizhen Chen & Li Wang & Xueshan Ai & Maoyuan Feng & Dedi Liu & Yuanyuan Liu, 2016. "Optimal Operation of Multi-reservoir Systems Considering Time-lags of Flood Routing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 523-540, January.
    15. Liping Li & Pan Liu & David Rheinheimer & Chao Deng & Yanlai Zhou, 2014. "Identifying Explicit Formulation of Operating Rules for Multi-Reservoir Systems Using Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(6), pages 1545-1565, April.
    16. Hamid Safavi & Iman Chakraei & Abdolreza Kabiri-Samani & Mohammad Golmohammadi, 2013. "Optimal Reservoir Operation Based on Conjunctive Use of Surface Water and Groundwater Using Neuro-Fuzzy Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(12), pages 4259-4275, September.
    17. D. Nagesh Kumar & Falguni Baliarsingh & K. Srinivasa Raju, 2010. "Optimal Reservoir Operation for Flood Control Using Folded Dynamic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(6), pages 1045-1064, April.
    18. Shenglian Guo & Jionghong Chen & Yu Li & Pan Liu & Tianyuan Li, 2011. "Joint Operation of the Multi-Reservoir System of the Three Gorges and the Qingjiang Cascade Reservoirs," Energies, MDPI, vol. 4(7), pages 1-15, July.

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