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Performance Risk Analysis for Fukuoka Water Supply System

Author

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  • Xu Zongxue
  • K. Jinno
  • A. Kawamura
  • S. Takesaki
  • K. Ito

Abstract

In this study, simulation is used to evaluate the performance of the municipal water system in Fukuoka city. In combination with daily simulation model, a kind of risk model incorporating water demand prediction is presented. This model applies five risk indices: reliability, resiliency, vulnerability, drought risk index (DRI) and drought damage index (DDI). They aid in the identification of operation policies for the municipal water system, and the planning and operational policies obtained are aimed at achieving minimum risk for a given scenario of operation. In this paper, the performance risk of the municipal water system is investigated under three alternatives: (1) the existing system operation when available supply from the Chikugo river is decreased; (2) water restrictions for different percentages of reduction are implemented; and (3) available water supply increases when desalination of sea water is implemented. The results obtained show that savings of between 5 and 12% of water consumption from May 1, or increasing of daily desalination of sea water about 30 000 m 3 or more, may efficiently decrease the performance risk of the Fukuoka water supply system. Potentials also exist for further increase of reservoir storage by more rational operation. The measure that more attention should be paid to increasing the water supply from stable sources is recommended as well. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

Suggested Citation

  • Xu Zongxue & K. Jinno & A. Kawamura & S. Takesaki & K. Ito, 1998. "Performance Risk Analysis for Fukuoka Water Supply System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(1), pages 13-30, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:12:y:1998:i:1:p:13-30
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1007951806144
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Ungtae & Kaluarachchi, Jagath J. & Smakhtin, Vladimir U., 2008. "Climate change impacts on hydrology and water resources of the Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia," IWMI Research Reports 53025, International Water Management Institute.
    2. J. Shiau & H. Lee, 2005. "Derivation of Optimal Hedging Rules for a Water-supply Reservoir through Compromise Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(2), pages 111-132, April.
    3. A. Adeloye & M. Montaseri, 1999. "Predicting Critical Period to Characterise Over-Year and Within-Year Reservoir Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 13(6), pages 383-407, December.
    4. Glendenning, C.J. & Vervoort, R.W., 2011. "Hydrological impacts of rainwater harvesting (RWH) in a case study catchment: The Arvari River, Rajasthan, India: Part 2. Catchment-scale impacts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(4), pages 715-730, February.
    5. Eriyagama, Nishadi & Smakhtin, Vladimir U. & Gamage, Nilantha, 2009. "Mapping drought patterns and impacts: a global perspective," IWMI Research Reports 57027, International Water Management Institute.
    6. J. Shiau, 2003. "Water Release Policy Effects on the Shortage Characteristics for the Shihmen Reservoir System during Droughts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 17(6), pages 463-480, December.
    7. João Vieira & Maria Conceição Cunha, 2017. "Nested Optimization Approach for the Capacity Expansion of Multiquality Water Supply Systems under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(4), pages 1381-1395, March.
    8. M. Montaseri & A. Adeloye, 2004. "A Graphical Rule for Volumetric Evaporation Loss Correction in Reservoir Capacity-Yield-Performance Planning in Urmia Region, Iran," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 18(1), pages 55-74, February.
    9. S. Khajeh & Sh. Paimozd & M. Moghaddasi, 2017. "Assessing the Impact of Climate Changes on Hydrological Drought Based on Reservoir Performance Indices (Case Study: ZayandehRud River Basin, Iran)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(9), pages 2595-2610, July.
    10. Mahdi Moudi & Zhongwen Xu & Liming Yao & He Yuan, 2020. "Dynamic Optimization Model for Improving Urban Water Supply System Fragility with Uncertain Streamflow," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(4), pages 1465-1477, March.
    11. Hung-Wei Tseng & Thian Gan & Pao-Shan Yu, 2015. "Composite Drought Indices of Monotonic Behaviour for Assessing Potential Impact of Climate Change to a Water Resources System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2341-2359, May.
    12. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
    13. Reza Hajiabadi & Mahdi Zarghami, 2014. "Multi-Objective Reservoir Operation with Sediment Flushing; Case Study of Sefidrud Reservoir," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5357-5376, December.

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