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Bootstrap-based model selection criteria for beta regressions

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  • Fábio Bayer
  • Francisco Cribari-Neto

Abstract

This paper addresses the issue of model selection in the beta regression model focused on small samples. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a model selection criterion widely used in practical applications. The AIC is an estimator of the expected log-likelihood value, and measures the discrepancy between the true model and the estimated model. In small samples, the AIC is biased and tends to select overparameterized models. To circumvent that problem, we propose two new selection criteria, namely: the bootstrapped likelihood quasi-CV and its 632QCV variant. We use Monte Carlo simulation to compare the finite sample performances of the two proposed criteria to those of the AIC and its variations that use the bootstrapped log-likelihood in the class of varying dispersion beta regressions. The numerical evidence shows that the proposed model selection criteria perform well in small samples. We also present and discuss and empirical application. Copyright Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Fábio Bayer & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2015. "Bootstrap-based model selection criteria for beta regressions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(4), pages 776-795, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:24:y:2015:i:4:p:776-795
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-015-0434-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Cribari-Neto, Francisco & Scher, Vinícius T. & Bayer, Fábio M., 2023. "Beta autoregressive moving average model selection with application to modeling and forecasting stored hydroelectric energy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 98-109.
    2. Zhenxiang Jiang & Bo Wu & Hui Chen, 2023. "Dam Health Diagnosis Model Based on Cumulative Distribution Function," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4293-4308, September.
    3. Patrícia L. Espinheira & Alisson Oliveira Silva, 2020. "Residual and influence analysis to a general class of simplex regression," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 29(2), pages 523-552, June.
    4. Cristine Rauber & Francisco Cribari-Neto & Fábio M. Bayer, 2020. "Improved testing inferences for beta regressions with parametric mean link function," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(4), pages 687-717, December.

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