IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/testjl/v24y2015i4p752-775.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Partially linear beta regression model with autoregressive errors

Author

Listed:
  • Guillermo Ferreira
  • Jorge Figueroa-Zúñiga
  • Mário Castro

Abstract

This paper is focused on developing a methodology to deal with time series data on the unit interval modeled by a partially linear model with correlated disturbances from a Bayesian perspective. In this context, the linear predictor of the beta regression model incorporates an unknown smooth function with time as an auxiliary covariate and a set of regressors. In addition, an autoregressive dependence structure is proposed for the errors of the model. This formulation can capture the dynamic evolution of curves using both non-stochastic explanatory variables and non-parametric components, allowing an accurate fit with a limited number of parameters. Diagnostic measures are derived from the case-deletion approach and an influence measure based on the Kullback–Leibler divergence is studied and thus, a new method to determine the optimal order of the autoregressive processes through an adaptive procedure using the conditional predictive ordinate statistic is presented. A simulation study is conducted to assess some properties of the Bayesian estimator. Finally, the proposed methodology is illustrated in two real-life applications. Copyright Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Guillermo Ferreira & Jorge Figueroa-Zúñiga & Mário Castro, 2015. "Partially linear beta regression model with autoregressive errors," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(4), pages 752-775, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:24:y:2015:i:4:p:752-775
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-015-0433-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11749-015-0433-7
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11749-015-0433-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sungduk Kim & Ming-Hui Chen & Dipak K. Dey, 2008. "Flexible generalized t-link models for binary response data," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(1), pages 93-106.
    2. Crainiceanu, Ciprian M. & Ruppert, David & Wand, Matthew P., 2005. "Bayesian Analysis for Penalized Spline Regression Using WinBUGS," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 14(i14).
    3. Andréa Rocha & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2009. "Beta autoregressive moving average models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 18(3), pages 529-545, November.
    4. Wagner Hugo Bonat & Paulo Justiniano Ribeiro & Walmes Marques Zeviani, 2015. "Likelihood analysis for a class of beta mixed models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 252-266, February.
    5. Patricia Espinheira & Silvia Ferrari & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2008. "On beta regression residuals," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 407-419.
    6. da-Silva, C.Q. & Migon, H.S. & Correia, L.T., 2011. "Dynamic Bayesian beta models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(6), pages 2074-2089, June.
    7. J. Vermaak & C. Andrieu & A. Doucet & S. J. Godsill, 2004. "Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo Strategies for Bayesian Model Selection in Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(6), pages 785-809, November.
    8. Silvia Ferrari & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2004. "Beta Regression for Modelling Rates and Proportions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(7), pages 799-815.
    9. Figueroa-Zúñiga, Jorge I. & Arellano-Valle, Reinaldo B. & Ferrari, Silvia L.P., 2013. "Mixed beta regression: A Bayesian perspective," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 137-147.
    10. Guillermo Ferreira & Luis M. Castro & Victor H. Lachos & Ronaldo Dias, 2013. "Bayesian modeling of autoregressive partial linear models with scale mixture of normal errors," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(8), pages 1796-1816, August.
    11. Billio Monica & Casarin Roberto, 2011. "Beta Autoregressive Transition Markov-Switching Models for Business Cycle Analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 1-32, September.
    12. Paolino, Philip, 2001. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Models with Beta-Distributed Dependent Variables," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(4), pages 325-346, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Phillip Li, 2018. "Efficient MCMC estimation of inflated beta regression models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 127-158, March.
    2. Wagner Hugo Bonat & Paulo Justiniano Ribeiro & Walmes Marques Zeviani, 2015. "Likelihood analysis for a class of beta mixed models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 252-266, February.
    3. Ceren Eda Can & Gul Ergun & Refik Soyer, 2022. "Bayesian Analysis of Proportions via a Hidden Markov Model," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 3121-3139, December.
    4. Cepeda-Cuervo Edilberto & Garrido Liliana, 2015. "Bayesian beta regression models with joint mean and dispersion modeling," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 49-58, March.
    5. Cristine Rauber & Francisco Cribari-Neto & Fábio M. Bayer, 2020. "Improved testing inferences for beta regressions with parametric mean link function," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(4), pages 687-717, December.
    6. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2021. "Autoregressive conditional proportion: A multiplicative-error model for (0,1)-valued time series," MPRA Paper 110954, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Dec 2021.
    7. Zhou, Haiming & Huang, Xianzheng, 2022. "Bayesian beta regression for bounded responses with unknown supports," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    8. Jay Verkuilen & Michael Smithson, 2012. "Mixed and Mixture Regression Models for Continuous Bounded Responses Using the Beta Distribution," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 37(1), pages 82-113, February.
    9. Francisco Cribari-Neto & Sadraque E.F. Lucena, 2015. "Nonnested hypothesis testing in the class of varying dispersion beta regressions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(5), pages 967-985, May.
    10. Ospina, Raydonal & Ferrari, Silvia L.P., 2012. "A general class of zero-or-one inflated beta regression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1609-1623.
    11. Souza, M.A.O. & Migon, H.S. & Pereira, J.B.M., 2018. "Extended dynamic generalized linear models: The two-parameter exponential family," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 164-179.
    12. Ricardo Rasmussen Petterle & Wagner Hugo Bonat & Cassius Tadeu Scarpin, 2019. "Quasi-beta Longitudinal Regression Model Applied to Water Quality Index Data," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(2), pages 346-368, June.
    13. Cribari-Neto, Francisco & Scher, Vinícius T. & Bayer, Fábio M., 2023. "Beta autoregressive moving average model selection with application to modeling and forecasting stored hydroelectric energy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 98-109.
    14. Abdelhakim Aknouche & Stefanos Dimitrakopoulos, 2023. "Autoregressive conditional proportion: A multiplicative‐error model for (0,1)‐valued time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 393-417, July.
    15. Guillermo Martínez-Flórez & Artur J. Lemonte & Germán Moreno-Arenas & Roger Tovar-Falón, 2022. "The Bivariate Unit-Sinh-Normal Distribution and Its Related Regression Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(17), pages 1-26, August.
    16. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
    17. Claus Michelsen & Peter Boenisch & Benny Geys, 2014. "(De)Centralization and voter turnout: theory and evidence from German municipalities," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 159(3), pages 469-483, June.
    18. Espinheira, Patri­cia L. & Ferrari, Silvia L.P. & Cribari-Neto, Francisco, 2008. "Influence diagnostics in beta regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(9), pages 4417-4431, May.
    19. Pablo Mitnik & Sunyoung Baek, 2013. "The Kumaraswamy distribution: median-dispersion re-parameterizations for regression modeling and simulation-based estimation," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 177-192, February.
    20. S. Balia, 2011. "Survival expectations, subjective health and smoking: evidence from European countries," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 11/30, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:24:y:2015:i:4:p:752-775. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.