IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sorede/v34y2023i3d10.1134_s1075700723030097.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Development of the Novosibirsk Transport System until 2045: Analysis and Scenario Forecast

Author

Listed:
  • S. R. Milyakin

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • N. D. Skubachevskaya

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— The article analyzes development prospects of the transport system of Novosibirsk. An important objective in the development of that city is improving its transport connectivity and reducing the burden on infrastructure, especially road infrastructure. The study includes an analysis of the functioning of public transport in Novosibirsk, formulation of three scenarios based on existing trends in the development of the city’s transport system, and overview of feasible and potential projects in this area. A toolkit for estimating indicators of the city’s transport system is developed. Calculations of the volume and structure of passenger traffic by transport type are performed for the three transport policy scenarios. It is shown that reducing private car use requires significant budget expenditures.

Suggested Citation

  • S. R. Milyakin & N. D. Skubachevskaya, 2023. "Development of the Novosibirsk Transport System until 2045: Analysis and Scenario Forecast," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 363-371, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:34:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700723030097
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700723030097
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S1075700723030097
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1134/S1075700723030097?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Steg, Linda, 2005. "Car use: lust and must. Instrumental, symbolic and affective motives for car use," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(2-3), pages 147-162.
    2. Smith, Göran & Sochor, Jana & Karlsson, I.C. MariAnne, 2018. "Mobility as a Service: Development scenarios and implications for public transport," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 592-599.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ikezoe, Keigo & Kiriyama, Eriko & Fujimura, Shuzo, 2021. "Analysis of car ownership motivation in Tokyo for sustainable mobility service and urban development," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-14.
    2. Karlsson, I.C.M. & Mukhtar-Landgren, D. & Smith, G. & Koglin, T. & Kronsell, A. & Lund, E. & Sarasini, S. & Sochor, J., 2020. "Development and implementation of Mobility-as-a-Service – A qualitative study of barriers and enabling factors," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 283-295.
    3. Rodrigo Gandia & Fabio Antonialli & Isabelle Nicolaï & Joel Sugano & Julia Oliveira & Izabela Oliveira, 2021. "Casual Carpooling: A Strategy to Support Implementation of Mobility-as-a-Service in a Developing Country," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-18, March.
    4. Toşa, Cristian & Sato, Hitomi & Morikawa, Takayuki & Miwa, Tomio, 2018. "Commuting behavior in emerging urban areas: Findings of a revealed-preferences and stated-intentions survey in Cluj-Napoca, Romania," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 78-93.
    5. Mattauch, Linus & Hepburn, Cameron & Stern, Nicholas, 2018. "Pigou pushes preferences: decarbonisation and endogenous values," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-16, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    6. He, Mingwei & He, Chengfeng & Shi, Zhuangbin & He, Min, 2022. "Spatiotemporal heterogeneous effects of socio-demographic and built environment on private car usage: An empirical study of Kunming, China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    7. Jun Guan Neoh & Maxwell Chipulu & Alasdair Marshall, 2017. "What encourages people to carpool? An evaluation of factors with meta-analysis," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 423-447, March.
    8. Allen, Jaime & Muñoz, Juan Carlos & Ortúzar, Juan de Dios, 2019. "On evasion behaviour in public transport: Dissatisfaction or contagion?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 626-651.
    9. Gil Solá, Ana, 2016. "Constructing work travel inequalities: The role of household gender contracts," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 32-40.
    10. Jaroslav Burian & Lenka Zajíčková & Igor Ivan & Karel Macků, 2018. "Attitudes and Motivation to Use Public or Individual Transport: A Case Study of Two Middle-Sized Cities," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-25, May.
    11. Hafram, Maryam & Hasim, Abdul Hafid, 2018. "Factors Affecting Subjective Norms in Use and Have a Private Vehicle in Makassar, Indonesia," INA-Rxiv jfzh3, Center for Open Science.
    12. Axsen, Jonn & Kurani, Kenneth S., 2013. "Hybrid, plug-in hybrid, or electric—What do car buyers want?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 532-543.
    13. Nielsen, Jesper Riber & Hovmøller, Harald & Blyth, Pascale-L. & Sovacool, Benjamin K., 2015. "Of “white crows” and “cash savers:” A qualitative study of travel behavior and perceptions of ridesharing in Denmark," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 113-123.
    14. Marco Diana & Patricia Mokhtarian, 2009. "Grouping travelers on the basis of their different car and transit levels of use," Transportation, Springer, vol. 36(4), pages 455-467, July.
    15. Michael Löffler & Reinhold Decker, 2012. "Identifikation und praktische Nutzung von Mustern des Aufwärtskonsums," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 64(7), pages 722-746, November.
    16. Sun, Qipeng & Cheng, Qianqian & Wang, Yongjie & Li, Tao & Ma, Fei & Yao, Zhigang, 2022. "Zip-merging behavior at Y-intersection based on intelligent travel points," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    17. Sascha von Behren & Lisa Bönisch & Ulrich Niklas & Bastian Chlond, 2020. "Revealing Motives for Car Use in Modern Cities—A Case Study from Berlin and San Francisco," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, June.
    18. Humpe, Andreas & Gössling, Stefan & Haustein, Sonja, 2022. "Car careers: A socio-psychological evaluation of aspirational automobile ownership," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 156-166.
    19. Enayat Mirzaei & Dominique Mignot, 2021. "An Empirical Analysis of Mode Choice Decision for Utilitarian and Hedonic Trips: Evidence from Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-23, June.
    20. Goletz, Mirko & Haustein, Sonja & Wolking, Christina & L’Hostis, Alain, 2020. "Intermodality in European metropolises: The current state of the art, and the results of an expert survey covering Berlin, Copenhagen, Hamburg and Paris," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 109-122.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:34:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700723030097. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.