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Development of the Novosibirsk Transport System until 2045: Analysis and Scenario Forecast

Author

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  • S. R. Milyakin

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • N. D. Skubachevskaya

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— The article analyzes development prospects of the transport system of Novosibirsk. An important objective in the development of that city is improving its transport connectivity and reducing the burden on infrastructure, especially road infrastructure. The study includes an analysis of the functioning of public transport in Novosibirsk, formulation of three scenarios based on existing trends in the development of the city’s transport system, and overview of feasible and potential projects in this area. A toolkit for estimating indicators of the city’s transport system is developed. Calculations of the volume and structure of passenger traffic by transport type are performed for the three transport policy scenarios. It is shown that reducing private car use requires significant budget expenditures.

Suggested Citation

  • S. R. Milyakin & N. D. Skubachevskaya, 2023. "Development of the Novosibirsk Transport System until 2045: Analysis and Scenario Forecast," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 363-371, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:34:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700723030097
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700723030097
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Steg, Linda, 2005. "Car use: lust and must. Instrumental, symbolic and affective motives for car use," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(2-3), pages 147-162.
    2. Smith, Göran & Sochor, Jana & Karlsson, I.C. MariAnne, 2018. "Mobility as a Service: Development scenarios and implications for public transport," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 592-599.
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    Cited by:

    1. A. I. Petrov, 2024. "Dynamics and Forecast of Road Traffic Safety Management in Russia until 2030," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(5), pages 716-724, October.

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