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Macrostructural Analysis and Forecasting in Modern Conditions of Economic Development

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  • A. A. Shirov

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— The paper considers issues concerning the development of national school for macrostructural analysis and forecasting. It is shown that the evolution of structural economic research over the past hundred years was directly related to the development of the economy and met the objectives of substantiating economic policy. The reasons for the increase or decrease in interest in macrostructural studies in Russian and world economic science are considered. The high relevance of macrostructural analysis and forecasting in modern Russian conditions is substantiated. It is stated that the most important task for macrostructural analysis is combining the elements of socioeconomic and scientific and technical forecasting in order to substantiate the strategy of long-term economic development. The possibilities of assessing the medium- and long-term potential of economic growth using macroeconomic and intersectoral tools are demonstrated.

Suggested Citation

  • A. A. Shirov, 2022. "Macrostructural Analysis and Forecasting in Modern Conditions of Economic Development," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 495-505, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:33:y:2022:i:5:d:10.1134_s1075700722050136
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700722050136
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ida Sognnaes & Ajay Gambhir & Dirk-Jan van de Ven & Alexandros Nikas & Annela Anger-Kraavi & Ha Bui & Lorenza Campagnolo & Elisa Delpiazzo & Haris Doukas & Sara Giarola & Neil Grant & Adam Hawkes & Al, 2021. "A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(12), pages 1055-1062, December.
    2. E. A. Edinak & A. A. Shirov, 2021. "Assessment of the Relationship between the Qualification Structure of Employment and Household Consumption Using Input–Output Tables," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(6), pages 593-602, November.
    3. I. D. Masakova, 2019. "The Russian Practice of Compiling Input-Output Tables: Problems and Prospects of Development," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 119-128, March.
    4. E. A. Edinak & A. R. Sayapova & A. A. Shirov, 2022. "Endogenization of Household Consumption in the Expanded Input–Output Model," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 1-10, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. V. E. Dementiev, 2024. "Cooperation Between the State and Business in Forecasting and Planning Structural Changes in the Economy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 328-336, June.
    2. S. V. Chepel, 2023. "Modeling the Environmental Macrostructural and Social Impacts of Reducing Energy Subsidies (by the Example of Uzbekistan)," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(5), pages 713-723, October.
    3. M. N. Uzyakov & R. M. Uzyakov, 2025. "Analysis of the Long-Term Inter-Industry Forecast of the Russian Economy Based on the Concept and Methodology of the Structural-Technological Multiplier," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 36(5), pages 593-605, October.
    4. R. M. Uzyakov, 2024. "A Structural-Technological Multiplier as a Characteristic of the Dynamic Properties of the Economic Structure," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 34-43, February.

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