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Uncertainties of the 50-year wave height estimation using generalized extreme value and generalized Pareto distributions in the Indian Shelf seas

Author

Listed:
  • T. Muhammed Naseef

    (CSIR-National Institute of Oceanography (Council of Scientific and Industrial Research))

  • V. Sanil Kumar

    (CSIR-National Institute of Oceanography (Council of Scientific and Industrial Research))

  • Jossia Joseph

    (National Institute of Ocean Technology)

  • B. K. Jena

    (National Institute of Ocean Technology)

Abstract

Information about waves with specific return period in a region is essential for the safe design of marine facilities. In this study, significant wave height for 50-year return period is estimated using generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution and generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) based on the 15-year wave hindcast data. In order to realize the dependency of nature of the time series data on return value estimation, three types of data series: daily maxima (DM), monthly maxima (MM) and annual maxima (AM) are considered for GEV, whereas for GPD, threshold values are estimated from the parent data set at 6 h and the DM series. The GEV distribution shows that AM predicts higher significant wave height followed by MM and then DM. The large number (~ 50%) of smaller wave height value (

Suggested Citation

  • T. Muhammed Naseef & V. Sanil Kumar & Jossia Joseph & B. K. Jena, 2019. "Uncertainties of the 50-year wave height estimation using generalized extreme value and generalized Pareto distributions in the Indian Shelf seas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(3), pages 1231-1251, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:97:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-019-03701-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-019-03701-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. N. Teena & V. Sanil Kumar & K. Sudheesh & R. Sajeev, 2012. "Statistical analysis on extreme wave height," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 223-236, October.
    2. V. Kumar & T. Anoop, 2015. "Spatial and temporal variations of wave height in shelf seas around India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 1693-1706, September.
    3. V. Sanil Kumar & Glejin Johnson & K. Dubhashi & T. Balakrishnan Nair, 2013. "Waves off Puducherry, Bay of Bengal, during cyclone THANE," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 509-522, October.
    4. V. Kumar & P. Shanas & K. Dubhashi, 2014. "Shallow water wave spectral characteristics along the eastern Arabian Sea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 377-394, January.
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