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An agent-based evacuation model for the 2011 Brisbane City-scale riverine flood

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  • Xuefen Liu

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Samsung Lim

    (University of New South Wales)

Abstract

In this study, an agent-based model is proposed in order to provide new insights into the policy analysis and strategy assessment of city-scale evacuation management. The proposed model is suitable for assessment of the influence of different departure times and communications among peer evacuees on the number of residents at risk who arrive at official shelters. A case study is applied to build a simulation model for the coastal city of Brisbane in Australia. The Brisbane River catchment experiences regular flooding almost every year; the second severest flood since the twentieth century occurred in 2011. During that event, over 15,000 properties were inundated and around 3600 households evacuated in metropolitan Brisbane alone. Making use of high-performance computing clusters, the evacuation simulation was coupled with results from a validated hydrodynamic model to test a variety of escaping scenarios based on the 2011 flood situation. This case study demonstrates the proposed model’s capacity to represent the dynamic evacuation process and also shows that the model is able to help develop flood emergency plans and evaluate response measures through exploring key elements in a range of scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuefen Liu & Samsung Lim, 2018. "An agent-based evacuation model for the 2011 Brisbane City-scale riverine flood," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 53-70, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:94:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3373-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3373-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richard Dawson & Roger Peppe & Miao Wang, 2011. "An agent-based model for risk-based flood incident management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(1), pages 167-189, October.
    2. Jonkman, S.N. & Bockarjova, M. & Kok, M. & Bernardini, P., 2008. "Integrated hydrodynamic and economic modelling of flood damage in the Netherlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 77-90, May.
    3. Pillac, Victor & Van Hentenryck, Pascal & Even, Caroline, 2016. "A conflict-based path-generation heuristic for evacuation planning," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 136-150.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhiqiang Wang & Jing Huang & Huimin Wang & Jinle Kang & Weiwei Cao, 2020. "Analysis of Flood Evacuation Process in Vulnerable Community with Mutual Aid Mechanism: An Agent-Based Simulation Framework," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-21, January.

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