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A fuzzy c-means approach regionalization for analysis of meteorological drought homogeneous regions in western India

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  • Manish Kumar Goyal

    (Indian Institute of Technology)

  • Ashutosh Sharma

    (Indian Institute of Technology)

Abstract

Drought is a frequently occurring natural hazard in many parts of the world and affects economy, environment and human lives. In India, the western states are severely affected by droughts. Global warming and climate change is causing more frequent and intense droughts in the region. In the present study, meteorological drought is studied using standardized precipitation index for four different timescales of 1, 3, 6 and 12 months. Drought homogeneous regions are identified over 81 stations in three western states of India using monthly precipitation data from 1901 to 2002. Based on fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm and five cluster validity indices, the optimal number of clusters obtained for 1-, 3-, 6- and 12-month timescales are 4, 5, 3 and 4, respectively. Homogeneity of the clusters is ensured using two L-moment-based homogeneity tests (H-Test). Clusters obtained for different timescales are compared and significant variation in cluster pattern is observed for different timescales. The identified regions are anticipated to assist policy maker in effective planning and management of water resources during drought.

Suggested Citation

  • Manish Kumar Goyal & Ashutosh Sharma, 2016. "A fuzzy c-means approach regionalization for analysis of meteorological drought homogeneous regions in western India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1831-1847, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:84:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2520-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2520-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. D. Pai & Latha Sridhar & Pulak Guhathakurta & H. Hatwar, 2011. "District-wide drought climatology of the southwest monsoon season over India based on standardized precipitation index (SPI)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(3), pages 1797-1813, December.
    2. Sanjay Jain & Ravish Keshri & Ajanta Goswami & Archana Sarkar, 2010. "Application of meteorological and vegetation indices for evaluation of drought impact: a case study for Rajasthan, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 54(3), pages 643-656, September.
    3. Manish Goyal & Vivek Gupta, 2014. "Identification of Homogeneous Rainfall Regimes in Northeast Region of India using Fuzzy Cluster Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4491-4511, October.
    4. R. Sahoo & Dipanwita Dutta & M. Khanna & N. Kumar & S. Bandyopadhyay, 2015. "Drought assessment in the Dhar and Mewat Districts of India using meteorological, hydrological and remote-sensing derived indices," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(2), pages 733-751, June.
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    1. Ali Ahani & S. Saeid Mousavi Nadoushani & Ali Moridi, 2020. "Regionalization of watersheds based on the concept of rough set," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 883-899, October.
    2. Ruiling Sun & Ge Gao & Zaiwu Gong & Jie Wu, 2020. "A review of risk analysis methods for natural disasters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(2), pages 571-593, January.
    3. Abdelaaziz Merabti & Diogo S. Martins & Mohamed Meddi & Luis S. Pereira, 2018. "Spatial and Time Variability of Drought Based on SPI and RDI with Various Time Scales," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 1087-1100, February.
    4. Manish Kumar Goyal & Gupta Shivam & Arup K. Sarma, 2019. "Spatial homogeneity of extreme precipitation indices using fuzzy clustering over northeast India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(2), pages 559-574, September.

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