IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v119y2023i2d10.1007_s11069-022-05770-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A simplified methodology for rapid Natech risk assessment of flood-wind-hail multi-hazard scenario

Author

Listed:
  • Jiajun Wang

    (Tsinghua University
    Beijing Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Emergency Response Science)

  • Wenguo Weng

    (Tsinghua University
    Beijing Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Emergency Response Science)

Abstract

Natural hazard events that trigger technical emergencies (Natech events), as a typical type of multi-hazard, have become a matter of growing concern. In particular, the occurrence of Natech events in industrial areas triggered a number of severe accidents. The present research aims at introducing a sound but simplified methodology to quickly and flexibly assess the Natech risk in a flood-wind-hail multi-hazard scenario. Taking the analysis of atmospheric vertical storage tank as an example, the methodology is shown. This methodology consists of eight steps, relying on the simplified physical models of tank damage caused by multiple natural disasters. In addition, LOC probability and risk are calculated to provide reference for decision makers. The uncertain parameter set (UPS) proposed in the method and the Monte Carlo simulation method can help to purposefully analyze the impact of various parameters in multi-hazard scenarios. New risk assessment of wind-overturning and hail-yielding is implemented. And this method is also applicable to Natech events involving other multi-hazard scenarios and other types of industrial facilities, which helps to quickly evaluate the risk to provide possible reference, and saving time cost and improving the efficiency of decision-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiajun Wang & Wenguo Weng, 2023. "A simplified methodology for rapid Natech risk assessment of flood-wind-hail multi-hazard scenario," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(2), pages 965-987, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:119:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05770-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05770-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-022-05770-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-022-05770-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:119:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05770-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.