IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v115y2023i2d10.1007_s11069-022-05585-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Characterizing compound floods from heavy rainfall and upstream–downstream extreme flow in middle Yangtze River from 1980 to 2020

Author

Listed:
  • Kai Tao

    (Central China Normal University
    Central China Normal University)

  • Jian Fang

    (Central China Normal University
    Central China Normal University)

  • Wentao Yang

    (Beijing Forestry University)

  • Jiayi Fang

    (Hangzhou Normal University
    Hangzhou Normal University)

  • Baoyin Liu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The potential damages of flood would be magnified by the compounding effect of local heavy rainfall and extreme river flow from upstream/downstream, which has brought significant challenges to traditional flood risk management. To better understand the risk of these compound extreme events, we used the latest datasets to characterize compound inland floods in the middle Yangtze River region. The frequency, intensity, duration, timing, and dependence of the compound events from heavy rainfall in Wuhan and upstream–downstream floods in the Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake Basin were investigated from 1980 to 2020. In addition, we explored the effects of different compounding scenarios and discussed the synoptic and topographic conditions for these events. The results show that the frequency, intensity, and duration of all compound events had increased significantly after 2004; the occurrence time of most compound events had become more concentrated and advanced slightly in 2004–2020. Significantly positive correlation between extreme precipitation and corresponding upstream river flow and downstream water level were found, and the correlation became stronger in 2004–2020. The favorable synoptic and topographic conditions in this area make it prone to compound floods, and the influence from the concurrence with downstream flood was more profound than the concurrence with upstream flood. Higher risk of compound floods could be expected, given the increase in the drivers and their dependence in future, highlighting the necessity of more comprehensive study toward the mechanism, dynamics and risk of compound floods and more systematic strategies for flood risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Kai Tao & Jian Fang & Wentao Yang & Jiayi Fang & Baoyin Liu, 2023. "Characterizing compound floods from heavy rainfall and upstream–downstream extreme flow in middle Yangtze River from 1980 to 2020," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(2), pages 1097-1114, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:115:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05585-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05585-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-022-05585-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-022-05585-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nina N. Ridder & Andy J. Pitman & Seth Westra & Anna Ukkola & Hong X. Do & Margot Bador & Annette L. Hirsch & Jason P. Evans & Alejandro Luca & Jakob Zscheischler, 2020. "Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Jakob Zscheischler & Seth Westra & Bart J. J. M. Hurk & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Philip J. Ward & Andy Pitman & Amir AghaKouchak & David N. Bresch & Michael Leonard & Thomas Wahl & Xuebin Zhang, 2018. "Future climate risk from compound events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 469-477, June.
    3. Jakob Zscheischler & Seth Westra & Bart J. J. M. Hurk & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Philip J. Ward & Andy Pitman & Amir AghaKouchak & David N. Bresch & Michael Leonard & Thomas Wahl & Xuebin Zhang, 2018. "Author Correction: Future climate risk from compound events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(8), pages 750-750, August.
    4. Nina N. Ridder & Andy J. Pitman & Seth Westra & Anna Ukkola & Hong X. Do & Margot Bador & Annette L. Hirsch & Jason P. Evans & Alejandro Luca & Jakob Zscheischler, 2020. "Publisher Correction: Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-1, December.
    5. Thomas Wahl & Shaleen Jain & Jens Bender & Steven D. Meyers & Mark E. Luther, 2015. "Increasing risk of compound flooding from storm surge and rainfall for major US cities," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(12), pages 1093-1097, December.
    6. Michael Leonard & Seth Westra & Aloke Phatak & Martin Lambert & Bart van den Hurk & Kathleen McInnes & James Risbey & Sandra Schuster & Doerte Jakob & Mark Stafford‐Smith, 2014. "A compound event framework for understanding extreme impacts," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 113-128, January.
    7. Kousky, Carolyn, 2014. "Informing climate adaptation: A review of the economic costs of natural disasters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 576-592.
    8. Jian Fang & Feng Kong & Jiayi Fang & Lin Zhao, 2018. "Observed changes in hydrological extremes and flood disaster in Yangtze River Basin: spatial–temporal variability and climate change impacts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 89-107, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Haidong Zhao & Lina Zhang & M. B. Kirkham & Stephen M. Welch & John W. Nielsen-Gammon & Guihua Bai & Jiebo Luo & Daniel A. Andresen & Charles W. Rice & Nenghan Wan & Romulo P. Lollato & Dianfeng Zheng, 2022. "U.S. winter wheat yield loss attributed to compound hot-dry-windy events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Emanuele Bevacqua & Laura Suarez-Gutierrez & Aglaé Jézéquel & Flavio Lehner & Mathieu Vrac & Pascal Yiou & Jakob Zscheischler, 2023. "Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Mahshid Ghanbari & Mazdak Arabi & Matei Georgescu & Ashley M. Broadbent, 2023. "The role of climate change and urban development on compound dry-hot extremes across US cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Wen Song & Shisong Cao & Mingyi Du & You Mo & Suju Li, 2022. "Investigation of compound drought risk and driving factors in Nepal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1365-1391, November.
    5. Friedrich A. Burger & Jens Terhaar & Thomas L. Frölicher, 2022. "Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. J. J. Wijetunge & N. G. P. B. Neluwala, 2023. "Compound flood hazard assessment and analysis due to tropical cyclone-induced storm surges, waves and precipitation: a case study for coastal lowlands of Kelani river basin in Sri Lanka," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3979-4007, April.
    7. Jackson, Nicole D. & Gunda, Thushara, 2021. "Evaluation of extreme weather impacts on utility-scale photovoltaic plant performance in the United States," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    8. Dominik Paprotny & Michalis I. Vousdoukas & Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles & Sebastiaan N. Jonkman & Luc Feyen, 2020. "Pan-European hydrodynamic models and their ability to identify compound floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(3), pages 933-957, April.
    9. Shahid Latif & Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2022. "Nonparametric Approach to Copula Estimation in Compounding The Joint Impact of Storm Surge and Rainfall Events in Coastal Flood Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(14), pages 5599-5632, November.
    10. Tao Ji & Yanhong Yao & Yue Dou & Shejun Deng & Shijun Yu & Yunqiang Zhu & Huajun Liao, 2022. "The Impact of Climate Change on Urban Transportation Resilience to Compound Extreme Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, March.
    11. Orpita U. Laz & Ataur Rahman & Taha B. M. J. Ouarda, 2023. "Compound heatwave and drought hotspots and their trends in Southeast Australia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 357-386, October.
    12. Weiqing Han & Lei Zhang & Gerald A. Meehl & Shoichiro Kido & Tomoki Tozuka & Yuanlong Li & Michael J. McPhaden & Aixue Hu & Anny Cazenave & Nan Rosenbloom & Gary Strand & B. Jason West & Wen Xing, 2022. "Sea level extremes and compounding marine heatwaves in coastal Indonesia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    13. Veruska Muccione & Thomas Lontzek & Christian Huggel & Philipp Ott & Nadine Salzmann, 2023. "An application of dynamic programming to local adaptation decision-making," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 523-544, October.
    14. Thomas, J. & Brunette, M. & Leblois, A., 2022. "The determinants of adapting forest management practices to climate change: Lessons from a survey of French private forest owners," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    15. Yi Yang & Jianping Tang, 2023. "Downscaling and uncertainty analysis of future concurrent long-duration dry and hot events in China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(2), pages 1-25, February.
    16. Yuqing Zhang & Guangxiong Mao & Changchun Chen & Liucheng Shen & Binyu Xiao, 2021. "Population Exposure to Compound Droughts and Heatwaves in the Observations and ERA5 Reanalysis Data in the Gan River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-28, September.
    17. Luke J. Harrington & Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Friederike E. L. Otto, 2021. "Quantifying uncertainty in aggregated climate change risk assessments," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    18. Zhang, Yu & Hao, Zengchao & Feng, Sifang & Zhang, Xuan & Hao, Fanghua, 2022. "Changes and driving factors of compound agricultural droughts and hot events in eastern China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    19. Lusheng Li & Lili Zhao & Yanbin Li, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Meteorological and Agricultural Droughts in China: Change Patterns and Causes," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-16, January.
    20. Fekete, Alexander & Fuchs, Sven & Garschagen, Matthias & Hutter, Gérard & Klepp, Silja & Lüder, Catharina & Neise, Thomas & Sett, Dominic & von Elverfeldt, Kirsten & Wannewitz, Mia, 2022. "Adjustment or transformation? Disaster risk intervention examples from Austria, Indonesia, Kiribati and South Africa," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:115:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05585-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.