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Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events

Author

Listed:
  • Nina N. Ridder

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Andy J. Pitman

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Seth Westra

    (University of Adelaide)

  • Anna Ukkola

    (Australian National University)

  • Hong X. Do

    (University of Michigan
    Nong Lam University)

  • Margot Bador

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Annette L. Hirsch

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Jason P. Evans

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Alejandro Luca

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Jakob Zscheischler

    (University of Bern
    University of Bern)

Abstract

Compound events (CEs) are weather and climate events that result from multiple hazards or drivers with the potential to cause severe socio-economic impacts. Compared with isolated hazards, the multiple hazards/drivers associated with CEs can lead to higher economic losses and death tolls. Here, we provide the first analysis of multiple multivariate CEs potentially causing high-impact floods, droughts, and fires. Using observations and reanalysis data during 1980–2014, we analyse 27 hazard pairs and provide the first spatial estimates of their occurrences on the global scale. We identify hotspots of multivariate CEs including many socio-economically important regions such as North America, Russia and western Europe. We analyse the relative importance of different multivariate CEs in six continental regions to highlight CEs posing the highest risk. Our results provide initial guidance to assess the regional risk of CE events and an observationally-based dataset to aid evaluation of climate models for simulating multivariate CEs.

Suggested Citation

  • Nina N. Ridder & Andy J. Pitman & Seth Westra & Anna Ukkola & Hong X. Do & Margot Bador & Annette L. Hirsch & Jason P. Evans & Alejandro Luca & Jakob Zscheischler, 2020. "Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:11:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-020-19639-3
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Orpita U. Laz & Ataur Rahman & Taha B. M. J. Ouarda, 2023. "Compound heatwave and drought hotspots and their trends in Southeast Australia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 357-386, October.
    2. Friedrich A. Burger & Jens Terhaar & Thomas L. Frölicher, 2022. "Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Kai Tao & Jian Fang & Wentao Yang & Jiayi Fang & Baoyin Liu, 2023. "Characterizing compound floods from heavy rainfall and upstream–downstream extreme flow in middle Yangtze River from 1980 to 2020," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(2), pages 1097-1114, January.
    4. Yi Yang & Jianping Tang, 2023. "Downscaling and uncertainty analysis of future concurrent long-duration dry and hot events in China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(2), pages 1-25, February.
    5. Yuqing Zhang & Guangxiong Mao & Changchun Chen & Liucheng Shen & Binyu Xiao, 2021. "Population Exposure to Compound Droughts and Heatwaves in the Observations and ERA5 Reanalysis Data in the Gan River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-28, September.
    6. Wen Song & Shisong Cao & Mingyi Du & You Mo & Suju Li, 2022. "Investigation of compound drought risk and driving factors in Nepal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1365-1391, November.
    7. Tao Ji & Yanhong Yao & Yue Dou & Shejun Deng & Shijun Yu & Yunqiang Zhu & Huajun Liao, 2022. "The Impact of Climate Change on Urban Transportation Resilience to Compound Extreme Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, March.
    8. Haidong Zhao & Lina Zhang & M. B. Kirkham & Stephen M. Welch & John W. Nielsen-Gammon & Guihua Bai & Jiebo Luo & Daniel A. Andresen & Charles W. Rice & Nenghan Wan & Romulo P. Lollato & Dianfeng Zheng, 2022. "U.S. winter wheat yield loss attributed to compound hot-dry-windy events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    9. Mahshid Ghanbari & Mazdak Arabi & Matei Georgescu & Ashley M. Broadbent, 2023. "The role of climate change and urban development on compound dry-hot extremes across US cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    10. Olga Makarieva & Nataliia Nesterova & Ali Torabi Haghighi & Andrey Ostashov & Anastasiia Zemlyanskova, 2022. "Challenges of Hydrological Engineering Design in Degrading Permafrost Environment of Russia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, April.
    11. Gaowen Yang & Masahiro Ryo & Julien Roy & Daniel R. Lammel & Max-Bernhard Ballhausen & Xin Jing & Xuefeng Zhu & Matthias C. Rillig, 2022. "Multiple anthropogenic pressures eliminate the effects of soil microbial diversity on ecosystem functions in experimental microcosms," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    12. Michele Ronco & José María Tárraga & Jordi Muñoz & María Piles & Eva Sevillano Marco & Qiang Wang & Maria Teresa Miranda Espinosa & Sylvain Ponserre & Gustau Camps-Valls, 2023. "Exploring interactions between socioeconomic context and natural hazards on human population displacement," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.

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