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Are young cohorts of women delaying first birth in Mexico?

Author

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  • Alfonso Miranda

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Abstract

In the last decades female permanent sterilisation became the most used contraception method in Mexico. During this time the demand for pills, condoms and other short-term contraceptives fell consistently. The shift in the demand for contraceptives raises concerns among demographers that the timing of children may remain unchanged regardless observed reductions in period fertility rates. This paper assesses such ideas in the context of the timing of a first child using duration models as main analysis tool. Findings suggest that young cohorts of women are effectively delaying first birth relative to the experience of older generations.
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Suggested Citation

  • Alfonso Miranda, 2006. "Are young cohorts of women delaying first birth in Mexico?," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 19(1), pages 55-70, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:19:y:2006:i:1:p:55-70
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-005-0046-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Heckman & B. Singer, 1984. "The Identifiability of the Proportional Hazard Model," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 51(2), pages 231-241.
    2. Newman, John L & McCulloch, Charles E, 1984. "A Hazard Rate Approach to the Timing of Births," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(4), pages 939-961, July.
    3. Renbao Chen & S. Morgan, 1991. "Recent Trends in the Timing of First Births in the United States," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 28(4), pages 513-533, November.
    4. Arulampalam, Wiji & Stewart, Mark B, 1995. "The Determinants of Individual Unemployment Durations in an Era of High Unemployment," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(429), pages 321-332, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kari White & Joseph E. Potter, 2013. "Patterns of contraceptive use among Mexican-origin women," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(41), pages 1199-1212, June.
    2. Pamela Ortiz Arévalo, 2009. "Does sex education influence sexual and reproductive behaviour of women? Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers. Serie AD 2009-01, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Timing of children; Duration models; Mexico; J13; J15; C41;

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies

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