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Cointegration and causality in the exports-GDP nexus: The post-war evidence for Canada

  • C. Michael Wernerheim

    ()

    (Department of Economics, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland, A1C 5S7 Canada)

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    This paper tests for unit roots, cointegration, and Granger-causality in the exports-GDP nexus in Canada 1947-96, using both bivariate and trivariate models. Contrary to previous studies we cannot conclude that economic growth is either export-led, or output-driven, but rather that strong bi-directional causality exists between Canadian exports and GDP, and the GDP of its main trading partner, the United States.

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    Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

    Volume (Year): 25 (2000)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 111-125

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    Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:25:y:2000:i:1:p:111-125
    Note: received: April 1998/final version received: March 1999
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