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Temperature sensitivity thresholds to warming and cooling in phenophases of alpine plants

Author

Listed:
  • Fandong Meng

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research)

  • Yang Zhou

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research)

  • Shiping Wang

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Science of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Naqu Integrated Observation and Research Station of Ecology and Environment, Tibet University and Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research of the Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Jichuang Duan

    (Binhai Research Institute in Tianjin)

  • Zhenhua Zhang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Haishan Niu

    (University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Lili Jiang

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research)

  • Shujuan Cui

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Xin’e Li

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research)

  • Caiyun Luo

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Lrirong Zhang

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research)

  • Qi Wang

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Xiaoying Bao

    (University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Tsechoe Dorji

    (Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research)

  • Yingnian Li

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Mingyuan Du

    (National Agriculture and Food Research Organization)

  • Xinquan Zhao

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Liang Zhao

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Guojie Wang

    (Oregon State University Agriculture and Natural Resource Program at Eastern Oregon University)

  • David W. Inouye

    (University of Maryland)

Abstract

The assumption of a linear relationship between temperature and phenophases may be misleading. Furthermore, a lack of understanding of the changes in temperature sensitivity of phenophases to changes in temperature strongly limits our ability to predict phenological change in response to climate change. We investigated the timing of seven phenophases of six alpine plant species to test the hypothesis of nonlinear responses in their temperature sensitivities to warming and cooling, using a reciprocal transplant experiment along a 3200–3800 m mountain slope gradient. Our results supported our hypothesis and showed that there were different thresholds in temperature sensitivity of phenophases to warming and cooling. Moreover, linear temperature sensitivity models significantly underestimated advances and delays of phenophases within the thresholds of temperature change. The nonlinear temperature sensitivity of phenophases is best explained by plastic and adaptive responses of phenophases to temperature change gradients. Therefore, our results suggest that the thresholds of temperature sensitivity for different species should be determined and that nonlinear models of temperature sensitivity may be essential to predict accurately phenological responses to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Fandong Meng & Yang Zhou & Shiping Wang & Jichuang Duan & Zhenhua Zhang & Haishan Niu & Lili Jiang & Shujuan Cui & Xin’e Li & Caiyun Luo & Lrirong Zhang & Qi Wang & Xiaoying Bao & Tsechoe Dorji & Ying, 2016. "Temperature sensitivity thresholds to warming and cooling in phenophases of alpine plants," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(3), pages 579-590, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:139:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-016-1802-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1802-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
    2. Jörg Kaduk & Sietse Los, 2011. "Predicting the time of green up in temperate and boreal biomes," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(3), pages 277-304, August.
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