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Oszczędności pracowników, rozwój rynku kapitału i inwestycje zagraniczne - rządowy plan rozwoju z perspektywy postkeynesowskiej

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  • Maciej Holko

Abstract

W lutym 2016 r. Rada Ministrów Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej przyjęła Plan na rzecz odpowiedzialnego rozwoju. W lipcu przedstawiono do konsultacji społecznych projekt Strategii na rzecz Odpowiedzialnego Rozwoju, ostatecznie przyjętej w lutym 2017 r. W dokumentach tych można zauważyć wpływ heterodoksyjnych teorii ekonomicznych, co pośrednio spowodowane było światowym kryzysem finansowym, który podważył ortodoksyjne doktryny. Dokumenty te mają wiele wspólnego z teorią (post)keynesowską i pokrewnymi koncepcjami rozwoju. Rozbieżności dotyczą głównie programu budowy oszczędności pracowniczych i rynków kapitałowych, które w Planie i Strategii postrzegane są jako czynnik wzrostu. Celem artykułu jest wyjaśnienie - oparte na metodzie teoretycznego wnioskowania, przy wykorzystaniu teorii postkeynesowskiej - dlaczego te elementy Planu rozwoju mogą przeciwdziałać w dążeniu do osiągnięcia zamierzonych celów. Wniosek jest następujący: w świetle postkeynesowskiego modelu gospodarki zamkniętej skuteczne nakłonienie pracowników do zwiększenia oszczędności jest antywzrostowe i niezgodne z resztą Planu rozwoju. Natomiast w modelu gospodarki otwartej ich pozytywny wpływ miałby polegać na zwiększonej akumulacji kapitału w małych firmach, osiąganej za sprawą niższej stopy procentowej i nadwyżki eksportowej, co jednak jest zależne od sprzyjających okoliczności, których wystąpienie jest niepewne.

Suggested Citation

  • Maciej Holko, 2017. "Oszczędności pracowników, rozwój rynku kapitału i inwestycje zagraniczne - rządowy plan rozwoju z perspektywy postkeynesowskiej," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5, pages 5-30.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:gosnar:y:2017:i:5:p:5-30
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ekonomia postkeynesowska; Michał Kalecki; paradoks oszczędzania;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E11 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory

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