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Nonproportional Hazards and Event History Analysis in International Relations

Author

Listed:
  • Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier

    (Department of Political Science Ohio State University)

  • Dan Reiter
  • Christopher Zorn

    (Department of Political Science Emory University)

Abstract

Event history models have become a dominant method of analysis in the study of international relations. Conventional event history models, however, retain the assumption that the effects of the covariates remain proportional to each other throughout the duration of the subject's phase. Nonproportional hazard (NPH) models are used, which allow for the effects of covariates to vary over time. These models are then applied to three previously established data sets on the duration of postwar peace, civil wars, and alliances. Results show that NPH analysis is a useful method for testing new hypotheses, as well as removing possible sources of bias from existing analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier & Dan Reiter & Christopher Zorn, 2003. "Nonproportional Hazards and Event History Analysis in International Relations," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(1), pages 33-53, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:47:y:2003:i:1:p:33-53
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002702239510
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Santiago Sanchez-Pages, 2009. "Bargaining and Conflict with Incomplete Information," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 191, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
    2. Gandrud, Christopher, 2015. "simPH: An R Package for Illustrating Estimates from Cox Proportional Hazard Models Including for Interactive and Nonlinear Effects," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 65(i03).
    3. Carlos P. Barros & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2011. "Terrorism: The Case of ETA," Chapters, in: Derek L. Braddon & Keith Hartley (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Conflict, chapter 16, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Aydin B. Yildirim & J. Tyson Chatagnier & Arlo Poletti & Dirk De Bièvre, 2018. "The internationalization of production and the politics of compliance in WTO disputes," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 49-75, March.
    5. Barros, Carlos Pestana & Butler, Richard & Correia, Antónia, 2010. "The length of stay of golf tourism: A survival analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 13-21.

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