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Steaming in the Dark?

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  • Richard J. Stoll

    (Rice University)

Abstract

The empirical literature on arms races has often failed to find strong evidence of the existence of arms races among “obvious†dyads. In this article it is argued that if we assume that decision makers use simple rules and concentrate on the weapons stock of their rivals, we can produce highly accurate models. These premises are tested by examining the size of the British navy from 1860 to 1913. The results offer support for this line of argument.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard J. Stoll, 1992. "Steaming in the Dark?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 36(2), pages 263-283, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:36:y:1992:i:2:p:263-283
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002792036002003
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Charles H. Anderton, 1989. "Arms Race Modeling," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 33(2), pages 346-367, June.
    2. Ward, Michael Don, 1984. "Differential Paths to Parity: A Study of the Contemporary Arms Race," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 78(2), pages 297-317, June.
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