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Improving emergency evacuation planning with mobile phone location data

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Listed:
  • Ling Yin
  • Jie Chen
  • Hao Zhang
  • Zhile Yang
  • Qiao Wan
  • Li Ning
  • Jinxing Hu
  • Qi Yu

Abstract

Timely responses to emergencies are critical for urban disaster and emergency management, particularly in densely populated mega-cities. Researchers and personnel involved in urban emergency management nowadays rely on computers to carry out complex evacuation planning. Agent-based modeling, which supports the representation of interactions among individuals and between individuals and their environments, has become a major approach to simulating evacuations wherein spatial–temporal dynamics and individual conditions need attention, such as congestion in urban areas. However, the development of optimal evacuation plans based upon agent-based evacuation simulations can be very time-consuming. In this study, to shorten the computation time to provide a timely response in an efficient way, we develop a knowledge database to store evacuation plans for typical population distributions generated by mobile phone location data. Subsequently, we use the prepared knowledge database (offline) to accelerate real-time (online) processes in searching for near-optimal evacuation plans. Our experimental result demonstrates that the evacuation plans generated with a knowledge database always outperform those that are generated without a knowledge database. Specifically, the knowledge database can reduce the computation time by an average of 96.76%, with an average fitness value improvement of 21.86%. This result confirms the effectiveness of our proposed approach in improving agent-based evacuation planning. With the rapid development of human sensor data collection and analysis, the estimation of a more accurate population distribution will become easier in future. Thus, we believe that the proposed approach of developing a knowledge database based on population distribution patterns will provide a more feasible alternative solution for evacuation planning in the practice of urban emergency management.

Suggested Citation

  • Ling Yin & Jie Chen & Hao Zhang & Zhile Yang & Qiao Wan & Li Ning & Jinxing Hu & Qi Yu, 2020. "Improving emergency evacuation planning with mobile phone location data," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 47(6), pages 964-980, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:47:y:2020:i:6:p:964-980
    DOI: 10.1177/2399808319874805
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jing & Cai, Jianping & Yue, Xiaohang & Suresh, Nallan C., 2021. "Pre-positioning and real-time disaster response operations: Optimization with mobile phone location data," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).

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