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Will Natural Disasters Accelerate Neighborhood Decline? A Discrete-Time Hazard Analysis of Residential Property Vacancy and Abandonment before and after Hurricane Andrew in Miami-Dade County (1991–2000)

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  • Yang Zhang

    (Urban Affairs and Planning Program, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Architecture Annex (0113), Blacksburg, VA 24060, USA)

Abstract

This study examines the impact of an abrupt catastrophic natural disaster on residential property vacancy and abandonment. Using the discrete-time hazard model with parcel-level land-use data in Miami-Dade County, Florida, from two years prior to and eight years after Hurricane Andrew (1991–2000), the analysis shows that Hurricane Andrew triggered widespread property vacancy and abandonment in its impact area, especially in neighborhoods already in decline. Occurrence of vacancy and abandonment is determined by damage intensity and the preevent neighborhood sociodemographic characteristics. The analysis also shows that vacant and abandoned properties exert a negative spillover effect that can induce a succession of vacancy and abandonment over time. This paper concludes with a discussion about planning implications regarding neighborhood transition and disaster recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Zhang, 2012. "Will Natural Disasters Accelerate Neighborhood Decline? A Discrete-Time Hazard Analysis of Residential Property Vacancy and Abandonment before and after Hurricane Andrew in Miami-Dade County (1991–2," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 39(6), pages 1084-1104, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:39:y:2012:i:6:p:1084-1104
    DOI: 10.1068/b37121
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Yang Zhang & Walter Peacock, 2010. "Planning for Housing Recovery? Lessons Learned From Hurricane Andrew," Journal of the American Planning Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 76(1), pages 5-24.
    3. Xavier de Souza Briggs & Benjamin J. Keys, 2009. "Has Exposure to Poor Neighbourhoods Changed in America? Race, Risk and Housing Locations in Two Decades," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 46(2), pages 429-458, February.
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    Cited by:

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