IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rsr/supplm/v63y2015i9p44-48.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Theoretical aspects concerning the use of the statistical-econometric instruments the analysis of the financial assets

Author

Listed:
  • Constantin ANGHELACHE

    (Academia de Studii Economice, Bucuresti, Universitatea „Artifex” din Bucuresti)

  • Madalina Gabriela ANGHEL

    (Universitatea „Artifex” din Bucuresti)

Abstract

The econometric modelling of the financial variables aims to obtain models meant to forecast to the best their future values, taking into account the inertial character of the progress of the analysed processes as well as the relatively predictable character of their evolution in response to certain deviations from the observed past. The econometric regression models or those based on the use of the chronologic series allow us to do prognoses on the ground of the observations subject of the analysis. Although requiring a volume of work quit significant, the regression models allow the identification of certain functional dependences between the various components of the capital market which secures a real possibility to forecast the phenomena subject of the analysis over a time horizon well established.

Suggested Citation

  • Constantin ANGHELACHE & Madalina Gabriela ANGHEL, 2015. "Theoretical aspects concerning the use of the statistical-econometric instruments the analysis of the financial assets," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 63(9), pages 44-48, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:rsr:supplm:v:63:y:2015:i:9:p:44-48
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.revistadestatistica.ro/supliment/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/rrss_09_2015_A04_en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Engle, 2004. "Risk and Volatility: Econometric Models and Financial Practice," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(3), pages 405-420, June.
    2. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL, 2014. "Using the regression model for the portfolios analysis and management," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(4(593)), pages 53-66, April.
    3. Tim Bollerslev, 2008. "Glossary to ARCH (GARCH)," CREATES Research Papers 2008-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    4. Giovanni Barone Adesi & Robert F. Engle & Loriano Mancini, 2014. "A GARCH Option Pricing Model with Filtered Historical Simulation," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Giovanni Barone Adesi (ed.), Simulating Security Returns: A Filtered Historical Simulation Approach, chapter 4, pages 66-108, Palgrave Macmillan.
    5. Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL, 2014. "Econometric model used in the capital market analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(10(599)), pages 59-70, October.
    6. repec:agr:journl:v:4(593):y:2014:i:4(593):p:53-66 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Robert Engle, 2001. "GARCH 101: The Use of ARCH/GARCH Models in Applied Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 157-168, Fall.
    8. repec:agr:journl:v:10(599):y:2014:i:10(599):p:59-70 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Janusz GRABARA & Alexandru MANOLE, 2016. "Using the Dynamic Model ARMA to Forecast the Macroeconomic Evolution," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(1), pages 3-13, January.
    2. Vergil VOINEAGU & Michal BALOG & Daniel DUMITRESCU & Diana SOARE (DUMITRESCU), 2016. "Managing Financial Instruments by Development Bank of Romania," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(1), pages 32-37, January.
    3. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Alexandru MANOLE & Andreea MARINESCU, 2016. "Model of investment analysis in an uncertain environment," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(8), pages 77-84, August.
    4. Gabriela Victoria ANGHELACHE & Madalina Gabriela ANGHEL & Marius POPOVICI, 2016. "Significant Aspects of Investment Dynamics," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(1), pages 64-69, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chlebus Marcin, 2017. "EWS-GARCH: New Regime Switching Approach to Forecast Value-at-Risk," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 3(50), pages 01-25, December.
    2. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," NBER Chapters, in: The Risks of Financial Institutions, pages 513-544, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Shehu Usman Rano, Aliyu, 2010. "Does inflation has an Impact on Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from Nigeria and Ghana," MPRA Paper 30091, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Mar 2011.
    4. Marcin Chlebus, 2016. "Can Lognormal, Weibull or Gamma Distributions Improve the EWS-GARCH Value-at-Risk Forecasts?," FindEcon Chapters: Forecasting Financial Markets and Economic Decision-Making, in: Magdalena Osińska (ed.), Statistical Review, vol. 63, 2016, 3, edition 1, volume 63, chapter 4, pages 329-350, University of Lodz.
    5. Buczyński Mateusz & Chlebus Marcin, 2018. "Comparison of Semi-Parametric and Benchmark Value-At-Risk Models in Several Time Periods with Different Volatility Levels," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 67-82, June.
    6. Allison Roehling, 2021. "Implications of exchange rate volatility for trade: Volatility measurement matters," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1486-1523, November.
    7. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2013. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220, Elsevier.
    8. Javier Sánchez García & Salvador Cruz Rambaud, 2022. "A GARCH approach to model short‐term interest rates: Evidence from Spanish economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1621-1632, April.
    9. Tim Bollerslev, 2008. "Glossary to ARCH (GARCH)," CREATES Research Papers 2008-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    10. Bakshi, Gurdip & Panayotov, George, 2010. "First-passage probability, jump models, and intra-horizon risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 20-40, January.
    11. Willy Alanya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2018. "Stochastic Volatility in the Peruvian Stock Market and Exchange Rate Returns: A Bayesian Approximation," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(3), pages 354-385, December.
    12. Oberndorfer, Ulrich & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2007. "Lost in Transmission? Stock Market Impacts of the 2006 European Gas Crisis," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-030, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    13. Carl H. Korkpoe & Peterson Owusu Junior, 2018. "Behaviour of Johannesburg Stock Exchange All Share Index Returns - An Asymmetric GARCH and News Impact Effects Approach," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(1), pages 26-42, January-M.
    14. Halkos, George & Tzirivis, Apostolos, 2018. "Effective energy commodities’ risk management: Econometric modeling of price volatility," MPRA Paper 90781, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2006. "Belief merging and revision under social influence: An explanation for the volatility clustering puzzle," MPRA Paper 657, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Jacques Jaussaud & Serge Rey, 2012. "Long‐Run Determinants Of Japanese Exports To China And The United States: A Sectoral Analysis," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 1-28, February.
    17. Jacques Jaussaud & Serge Rey, 2012. "Long‐Run Determinants Of Japanese Exports To China And The United States: A Sectoral Analysis," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 1-28, February.
    18. Hammad A. Siddiqi, 2006. "Is it Social Influence on Beliefs Under Ambiguity? A Possible Explanation for Volatility Clustering," Microeconomics Working Papers 22279, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    19. Cristina Belciuganu, 2009. "Spillover effect: A study for major capital markets and Romania capital market," Advances in Economic and Financial Research - DOFIN Working Paper Series 29, Bucharest University of Economics, Center for Advanced Research in Finance and Banking - CARFIB.
    20. Jordaan, Henry & Grove, Bennie & Jooste, Andre & Alemu, A.G., 2007. "Measuring the Price Volatility of Certain Field Crops in South Africa using the ARCH/GARCH Approach," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 46(3), pages 1-17, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rsr:supplm:v:63:y:2015:i:9:p:44-48. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Adrian Visoiu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/stagvro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.