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Second order effects in population migration

Author

Listed:
  • Purica, Ionut

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting - Romanian Academy)

Abstract

Migration becomes a more and more significant process that triggers various types of complex behavior. After analyzing the process, especially with regard to the occurrence of nonlinear behavior, a model is build to include the features that may lead to the occurrence of cycles of migration reverse. The results of a simulation are showing patterns of behavior similar to the Italian case of large ex-migrations in the fifties that were reversed in mid seventies. A set of potential applications on migration from newly entrant countries in the EU to EU-15 is possible especially related to actions that may speed up the moment of migration cycle reverse.

Suggested Citation

  • Purica, Ionut, 2008. "Second order effects in population migration," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(2), pages 121-128, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:5:y:2008:i:2:p:121-128
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    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef2_08/rjef2_08_8.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baumol, William J & Benhabib, Jess, 1989. "Chaos: Significance, Mechanism, and Economic Applications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 77-105, Winter.
    2. Baumol, William J & Wolff, Edward N, 1983. " Feedback from Productivity Growth to R & D," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 85(2), pages 147-157.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    nonlinear; migration; cycles; complexity;

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design

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