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Substitution between Foreign Capital in China, India, the Rest of the World, and Latin America: Much Ado about Nothing?

Author

Listed:
  • Cravino, Javier

    (University of California, Los Angeles)

  • Lederman, Daniel

    (The World Bank)

Abstract

This paper explores the impact of the emergence of China and India on Foreign Capital Stocks (FCS) in other economies. Using bilateral FCS data from 1990- 2003 and drawing from the Knowledge-Capital Model of multinational enterprises to control for fundamental determinants of FCS across countries, the evidence suggests that the impact of foreign capital in China and India on other countries’ FCS has been positive. This finding is robust across different specifications and estimation techniques. There is surprisingly weak evidence of substitution in manufacturing FCS away from Central America/Mexico in favor of China, and from Southern Cone countries to India, but these findings are not robust to the use of alternative estimation techniques. In sum, fears of a global competition for FDI seem misplaced, and policymakers concerned about attracting foreign investors should focus their efforts on the fundamentals determinants of FDI.

Suggested Citation

  • Cravino, Javier & Lederman, Daniel, 2008. "Substitution between Foreign Capital in China, India, the Rest of the World, and Latin America: Much Ado about Nothing?," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 23, pages 953-976.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0460
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:zbw:bofitp:2008_009 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Julian Donaubauer & Christian Dreger, 2018. "The End of Cheap Labor: Are Foreign Investors Leaving China?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 17(2), pages 94-107, Summer.
    3. Shepherd, Ben & Wilson, John S., 2006. "Road infrastructure in Europe and Central Asia : does network quality affect trade ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4104, The World Bank.
    4. Fung , K.C. & Korhonen, Iikka & Li, Ke & Ng, Francis, 2008. "China and central and eastern European countries : regional networks, global supply chain, or international competitors?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4689, The World Bank.
    5. Krishna Chaitanya Vadlamannati, 2009. "Indian Economic Reforms and Foreign Direct Investment," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 10(1), pages 31-59, January.
    6. Miria Pigato, 2009. "Strengthening China's and India's Trade and Investment Ties to the Middle East and North Africa," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2626, December.
    7. Daniel Lederman & Marcelo Olarreaga & Guillermo Perry, 2007. "Latin America´s response to China and India: overview of research findings and policy implications - Observatorio de Política," Revista de Economía y Estadística, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto de Economía y Finanzas, vol. 45(1), pages 149-193, Junio.
    8. Jenkins, Rhys & Peters, Enrique Dussel & Moreira, Mauricio Mesquita, 2008. "The Impact of China on Latin America and the Caribbean," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 235-253, February.
    9. Paul De Grauwe & Zhaoyong Zhang & Chan-Hyun Sohn, 2016. "The Effect of China's Rise on FDI Competition in East Asia: Crowding-out or Crowding-in?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(1), pages 110-134, February.
    10. Fung , K.C. & Korhonen, Iikka & Li, Ke & Ng, Francis, 2008. "China and central and eastern European countries : regional networks, global supply chain, or international competitors?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4689, The World Bank.
    11. Resmini, Laura & Siedschlag, Iulia, 2013. "Is foreign direct investment to China crowding out the foreign direct investment to other countries?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 1-16.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign direct investment; China; India; Latin America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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