IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlefa/v2022y2022i3id273p5-21.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Do Damodaran's Multiples Value a Company Accurately? Evidence from Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Husák

Abstract

The article examines the market valuation approach using industry market multiples as this method has recently attracted increasing interest from appraisers. It investigates whether constructing one's own industry market multiples for company valuation which are based on a market approach provides better results than using Damodaran's market multiples in terms of the resulting valuation accuracy. The study uses a sample of 162 German companies publicly traded in 2010-2019 and analyses some of the most frequently adopted multiples: EV/EBITDA, P/BV and P/E. Moreover, the presented results may guide the appraisers in selecting the most appropriate valuation approach. Based on the statistical error analysis, the results prove better valuation accuracy of the own-built market multiples compared to Damodaran's multiples. Nevertheless, this study is limited to German listed companies and should not be relied upon with respect to other European markets. Furthermore, its scope is limited to only 15 industries which are listed by Damodaran and subsequently included in the test sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Husák, 2022. "Do Damodaran's Multiples Value a Company Accurately? Evidence from Germany," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2022(3), pages 5-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2022:y:2022:i:3:id:273:p:5-21
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.273
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://efaj.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.efaj.273.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://efaj.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.efaj.273.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.efaj.273?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefan Mittnik & Sascha Rieken, 2000. "Lower‐boundary violations and market efficiency: Evidence from the German DAX‐index options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(5), pages 405-424, May.
    2. Yong Keun Yoo, 2006. "The valuation accuracy of equity valuation using a combination of multiples," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(2), pages 108-123, April.
    3. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard H, 1987. "Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonalit y," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 557-581, July.
    4. Kaplan, Steven N & Ruback, Richard S, 1995. "The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1059-1093, September.
    5. Alford, Aw, 1992. "The Effect Of The Set Of Comparable Firms On The Accuracy Of The Price Earnings Valuation Method," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 94-108.
    6. Gilson, Stuart C & Hotchkiss, Edith S & Ruback, Richard S, 2000. "Valuation of Bankrupt Firms," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 43-74.
    7. Yong Keun Yoo, 2006. "The valuation accuracy of equity valuation using a combination of multiples," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 108-123, May.
    8. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    9. Jing Liu & Doron Nissim & Jacob Thomas, 2002. "Equity Valuation Using Multiples," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 135-172, March.
    10. Jeremiah Green & John R. M. Hand & X. Frank Zhang, 2016. "Errors and questionable judgments in analysts’ DCF models," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 596-632, June.
    11. Fernández, Pablo, 2002. "Valuation using multiples. How do analysts reach their conclusions?," IESE Research Papers D/450, IESE Business School.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frank Asche & Bård Misund, 2016. "Who’s a major? A novel approach to peer group selection: Empirical evidence from oil and gas companies," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1264538-126, December.
    2. Dittmann, I. & Maug, E.G., 2006. "Valuation Biases, Error Measures, and the Conglomerate Discount," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2006-011-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    3. Kenton Yee, 2008. "A Bayesian framework for combining valuation estimates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 339-354, April.
    4. Yanfu Li, 2019. "Improving Analyst Target Price Performance Through Enhanced Valuation Techniques," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12.
    5. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    6. Ingolf Dittmann & Christian Weiner, 2005. "Selecting Comparables for the Valuation of European Firms," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-002, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    7. Barbara Fidanza, 2008. "The Valuation by Multiples of Italian Firms," Working Papers 14-2008, Macerata University, Department of Studies on Economic Development (DiSSE), revised Nov 2008.
    8. Peter Roosenboom, 2007. "How Do Underwriters Value Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of the French IPO Market," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 1217-1243, December.
    9. Georgia Pazarzi, 2014. "Comparison of the Residual Income and the Pricing - Multiples Equity Valuation Models," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 88-114.
    10. Wen-Shiung Lee, 2013. "Merger and acquisition evaluation and decision making model," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(15-16), pages 1473-1494, December.
    11. Ivanovski Zoran & Narasanov Zoran & Ivanovska Nadica, 2018. "Performance Evaluation of Stocks’ Valuation Models at MSE," Economic and Regional Studies / Studia Ekonomiczne i Regionalne, Sciendo, vol. 11(2), pages 7-23, June.
    12. Roosenboom, Peter, 2012. "Valuing and pricing IPOs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1653-1664.
    13. WS Nel, 2015. "An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 30-46.
    14. Meitner, Matthias, 2003. "Option-Style Multi-Factor Comparable Company Valuation for Practical Use," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-76, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    15. Soenke Sievers & Christopher F. Mokwa & Georg Keienburg, 2012. "The Relevance of Financial versus Non-Financial Information for the Valuation of Venture Capital-Backed Firms," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 467-511, September.
    16. José Couto & Paula Brito & António Cerqueira, 2017. "The Method of Market Multiples on the Valuation of Companies: A Multivariate Approach," FEP Working Papers 586, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    17. Officer, Micah S., 2007. "The price of corporate liquidity: Acquisition discounts for unlisted targets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 571-598, March.
    18. Emanuel Bagna & Enrico Cotta Ramusino, 2016. "Accounting-Based Valuation Using Market Multiples: The Case Of Cyclical Companies," DEM Working Papers Series 126, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    19. Jens M�ller, 2014. "The Challenge of Assessing the Market Value of Private Companies Using a Standardised Combination Method for Tax Purposes - Lessons to be Learnt from Past Experience," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 117-141, May.
    20. Hong-Yi Chen & Cheng Few Lee & Wei-Kang Shih, 2020. "Technical, Fundamental, and Combined Information for Separating Winners from Losers," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng Few Lee & John C Lee (ed.), HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND MACHINE LEARNING, chapter 95, pages 3319-3365, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business Valuation; Market Multiples; Damodaran; Valuation Accuracy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2022:y:2022:i:3:id:273:p:5-21. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.