IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rnd/arjebs/v7y2015i3p30-46.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market

Author

Listed:
  • WS Nel

Abstract

Although peer group selection is a key consideration when performing multiples-based valuations, there is a lack of theoretical guidance on an optimal peer group selection strategy in emerging markets. Principal Component Analysis-based biplots and correlation monoplots are used to assess the valuation performance of multiples whose peer groups are based on either industry classification or valuation fundamentals. The evidence suggests that multiples whose peer groups are based on valuation fundamentals outperform multiples whose peer groups are based on industry classifications, with a combination of valuation fundamentals Rg and RoE emerging as the optimal peer group variable. The evidence suggests that an optimal choice of peer group variable could secure an increase in valuation precision of as much as 41.77%.

Suggested Citation

  • WS Nel, 2015. "An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 30-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:7:y:2015:i:3:p:30-46
    DOI: 10.22610/jebs.v7i3(J).580
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/580/580
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/580
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22610/jebs.v7i3(J).580?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eberhart, Allan C., 2001. "Comparable firms and the precision of equity valuations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(7), pages 1367-1400, July.
    2. Fuller, Russell J & Kerr, Halbert S, 1981. "Estimating the Divisional Cost of Capital: An Analysis of the Pure-Play Technique," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(5), pages 997-1009, December.
    3. Richard G. Barker, 1999. "Survey and Market-based Evidence of Industry-dependence in Analysts' Preferences Between the Dividend Yield and Price-earnings Ratio Valuation Models," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3-4), pages 393-418.
    4. Fenn, George W. & Cole, Rebel A., 1994. "Announcements of asset-quality problems and contagion effects in the life insurance industry," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 181-198, April.
    5. Cheng, C S Agnes & McNamara, Ray, 2000. "The Valuation Accuracy of the Price-Earnings and Price-Book Benchmark Valuation Methods," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 349-370, December.
    6. WS Nel & NJ le Roux, 2014. "Precision, Consistency and Bias in Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(5), pages 386-399.
    7. Asquith, Paul & Mikhail, Michael B. & Au, Andrea S., 2005. "Information content of equity analyst reports," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 245-282, February.
    8. Sanjeev Bhojraj & Charles M. C. Lee, 2002. "Who Is My Peer? A Valuation‐Based Approach to the Selection of Comparable Firms," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 407-439, May.
    9. Peter Roosenboom, 2007. "How Do Underwriters Value Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of the French IPO Market," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 1217-1243, December.
    10. Sanjay Sehgal & Asheesh Pandey, 2009. "The Behavior of Price Multiples in India (1990-2007)," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 5(1), pages 31-65.
    11. Volker Herrmann & Frank Richter, 2003. "Pricing With Performance-Controlled Multiples," Schmalenbach Business Review (sbr), LMU Munich School of Management, vol. 55(3), pages 194-219, July.
    12. Alford, Aw, 1992. "The Effect Of The Set Of Comparable Firms On The Accuracy Of The Price Earnings Valuation Method," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 94-108.
    13. Dragos Ioan Minjina, 2008. "Multiples And Their Use For Equity Valuation On European Capital Markets," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 11(11(528)(s), pages 220-228, November.
    14. Soon Nel & Wilna Bruwer & Niel le Roux, 2014. "An emerging market perspective on peer group selection based on valuation fundamentals," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(9), pages 621-637, May.
    15. Gilson, Stuart C & Hotchkiss, Edith S & Ruback, Richard S, 2000. "Valuation of Bankrupt Firms," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 43-74.
    16. Omran M. F., 2003. "Equity Valuation Using Multiples in the Emerging Market of the United Arab Emirates," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 1(3), pages 72-88, December.
    17. Jing Liu & Doron Nissim & Jacob Thomas, 2002. "Equity Valuation Using Multiples," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 135-172, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frank Asche & Bård Misund, 2016. "Who’s a major? A novel approach to peer group selection: Empirical evidence from oil and gas companies," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1264538-126, December.
    2. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    3. Dittmann, Ingolf & Weiner, Christian, 2005. "Selecting comparables for the valuation of European firms," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-002, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    4. Forte, Gianfranco & Gianfrate, Gianfranco & Rossi, Emanuele, 2020. "Does relative valuation work for banks?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    5. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-002 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Karel Janda, 2019. "Earnings Stability and Peer Company Selection for Multiple Based Indirect Valuation," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-75, February.
    7. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-062 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Skočir, Matevž & Lončarski, Igor, 2024. "On the importance of asset pricing factors in the relative valuation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    9. WS Nel & NJ le Roux, 2014. "Precision, Consistency and Bias in Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(5), pages 386-399.
    10. José Couto & Paula Brito & António Cerqueira, 2017. "The Method of Market Multiples on the Valuation of Companies: A Multivariate Approach," FEP Working Papers 586, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    11. Dittmann, I. & Maug, E.G., 2006. "Valuation Biases, Error Measures, and the Conglomerate Discount," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2006-011-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    12. Weiner, Christian, 2005. "The impact of industry classification schemes on financial research," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-062, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    13. Emanuel Bagna & Enrico Cotta Ramusino, 2016. "Accounting-Based Valuation Using Market Multiples: The Case Of Cyclical Companies," DEM Working Papers Series 126, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    14. Yanfu Li, 2019. "Improving Analyst Target Price Performance Through Enhanced Valuation Techniques," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12.
    15. Juhász Jácint & Kovács Imola & Kovács Ildikó, 2010. "Comparable Valuation Method - A New Approach. Case Study: A Romanian Flexographic Printing Firm," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 571-577, December.
    16. Abdul Rasheed & Muhammad Khalid Sohail & Shahab-Ud Din & Muhammad Ijaz, 2018. "How Do Investment Banks Price Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of Emerging Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, September.
    17. Peter Roosenboom, 2007. "How Do Underwriters Value Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of the French IPO Market," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 1217-1243, December.
    18. Waleed Khalid & Kashif Ur Rehman & Muhammad Kashif, 2019. "The Impact of Merger and Acquisition Firms on Stock Market Bubble," Global Regional Review, Humanity Only, vol. 4(1), pages 335-342, March.
    19. Meitner, Matthias, 2003. "Option-Style Multi-Factor Comparable Company Valuation for Practical Use," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-76, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    20. Yuan Yin & Ken Peasnell & Herbert G. Hunt, 2018. "How do sell-side analysts obtain price-earnings multiples to value firms?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 108-135, January.
    21. Soenke Sievers & Jan Klobucnik, 2011. "Valuing high technology growth firms," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 02-07, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
    22. Aharon, David Y. & Gavious, Ilanit & Yosef, Rami, 2010. "Stock market bubble effects on mergers and acquisitions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 456-470, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:7:y:2015:i:3:p:30-46. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Muhammad Tayyab (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.