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Excess Success for Psychology Articles in the Journal Science

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  • Gregory Francis
  • Jay Tanzman
  • William J Matthews

Abstract

This article describes a systematic analysis of the relationship between empirical data and theoretical conclusions for a set of experimental psychology articles published in the journal Science between 2005–2012. When the success rate of a set of empirical studies is much higher than would be expected relative to the experiments' reported effects and sample sizes, it suggests that null findings have been suppressed, that the experiments or analyses were inappropriate, or that the theory does not properly follow from the data. The analyses herein indicate such excess success for 83% (15 out of 18) of the articles in Science that report four or more studies and contain sufficient information for the analysis. This result suggests a systematic pattern of excess success among psychology articles in the journal Science.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory Francis & Jay Tanzman & William J Matthews, 2014. "Excess Success for Psychology Articles in the Journal Science," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(12), pages 1-15, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0114255
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0114255
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David R Shanks & Ben R Newell & Eun Hee Lee & Divya Balakrishnan & Lisa Ekelund & Zarus Cenac & Fragkiski Kavvadia & Christopher Moore, 2013. "Priming Intelligent Behavior: An Elusive Phenomenon," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-10, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. William J. Matthews & Ana I. Gheorghiu & Mitchell J. Callan, 2016. "Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 11(1), pages 21-39, January.
    2. repec:cup:judgdm:v:11:y:2016:i:1:p:21-39 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Fatma Ben Moussa & Mariem Talbi, 2019. "Stock Market Reaction to Terrorist Attacks and Political Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from the Tunisian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 48-64.
    4. Clinton Sanchez & Brian Sundermeier & Kenneth Gray & Robert J Calin-Jageman, 2017. "Direct replication of Gervais & Norenzayan (2012): No evidence that analytic thinking decreases religious belief," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(2), pages 1-8, February.

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