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Hypothesis Testing in Unidentified Models

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  • Trevor S. Breusch

Abstract

An identified model is not necessary for statistical inference, but ambiguities can arise. This paper examines some simple examples and proposes a framework that distinguishes between the "refutation" and "confirmation" aspects of testing in an unidentified model. One particular problem is the interpretation given to overidentifying restrictions: a common view is that these are somehow not properly testable.

Suggested Citation

  • Trevor S. Breusch, 1986. "Hypothesis Testing in Unidentified Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 53(4), pages 635-651.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:53:y:1986:i:4:p:635-651.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/2297609
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    Cited by:

    1. Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2012. "Inference in regression models with many regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 368-382.
    2. Jinhyun Lee, 2013. "A Consistent Nonparametric Bootstrap Test of Exogeneity," Discussion Paper Series, School of Economics and Finance 201316, School of Economics and Finance, University of St Andrews.
    3. Santiago Acerenza & Otávio Bartalotti & Désiré Kédagni, 2023. "Testing identifying assumptions in bivariate probit models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 407-422, April.
    4. Peter Jensen, 2010. "Testing the null of a low dimensional growth model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 193-215, February.
    5. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2016. "Neglected serial correlation tests in UCARIMA models," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 121-178, March.
    6. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2002. "Long-Run Structural Modelling," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 49-87.
    7. Toru Kitagawa, 2013. "A bootstrap test for instrument validity in heterogeneous treatment effect models," CeMMAP working papers CWP53/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    8. W K Newey & S Stouli, 2022. "Heterogeneous coefficients, control variables and identification of multiple treatment effects [Multivalued treatments and decomposition analysis: An application to the WIA program]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 109(3), pages 865-872.
    9. Andrew Chesher & Adam Rosen, 2018. "Generalized instrumental variable models, methods, and applications," CeMMAP working papers CWP43/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    10. Peter Sandholt Jensen & Allan H. Würtz, 2006. "On determining the importance of a regressor with small and undersized samples," Economics Working Papers 2006-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    11. Toru Kitagawa, 2013. "A bootstrap test for instrument validity in heterogeneous treatment effect models," CeMMAP working papers 53/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    12. Lee, Jinhyun, 2013. "A Consistent Nonparametric Bootstrap Test of Exogeneity," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-95, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    13. Matthew A. Masten & Alexandre Poirier, 2022. "The Effect of Omitted Variables on the Sign of Regression Coefficients," Papers 2208.00552, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    14. Hillier, Grant, 2009. "Exact Properties Of The Conditional Likelihood Ratio Test In An Iv Regression Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(4), pages 915-957, August.
    15. Matthew A. Masten & Alexandre Poirier, 2021. "Salvaging Falsified Instrumental Variable Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1449-1469, May.
    16. S. G. B Henry & A. R. Pagan, 2004. "The Econometrics of the New Keynesian Policy Model: Introduction," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(s1), pages 581-607, September.
    17. William R. Melick & Charles P. Thomas, 1992. "War and peace: recovering the market's probability distribution of crude oil futures prices during the Gulf crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 437, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Giovanni Forchini, "undated". "The Geometry of Similar Tests for Structural Change," Discussion Papers 00/55, Department of Economics, University of York.

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