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A note on the unemployment volatility puzzle

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  • Nikolaos Kokonas

Abstract

This paper features an economy with frictional labour markets, Nash bargaining, cyclical opportunity cost of employment and demand-determined output. I show that the model generates big responses of unemployment to productivity movements. The key insight is that strongly countercyclical markups amplify the impact of aggregate shocks on the fundamental surplus, and as a consequence, on labour market outcomes. This answers the critique of Chodorow-Reich and Karabarbounis that the cyclicality of the opportunity cost poses a challenge to the solution of the unemployment volatility puzzle.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos Kokonas, 2023. "A note on the unemployment volatility puzzle," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 75(1), pages 55-74.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:75:y:2023:i:1:p:55-74.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpac012
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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