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The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment

Author

Listed:
  • Florin G Maican
  • Matilda Orth
  • Mark J Roberts
  • Van Anh Vuong

Abstract

This article estimates a dynamic structural model of firm R&D investment in twelve Swedish manufacturing industries and uses it to measure rates of return to R&D and to simulate the impact of trade restrictions on the investment incentives. Export market profits are a substantial source of the expected return to R&D. R&D spending is found to have a larger impact on firm productivity in the export market than in the domestic market. Counterfactual simulations show that trade restrictions lower both the expected return to R&D and R&D investment level, thus reducing an important source of the dynamic gains from trade. A 10% tariff on Swedish exports reduces the expected benefits of R&D for the median firm by 18.6% and lowers the amount of R&D spending by 7.6% in the high-tech industries. The corresponding reductions in the low-tech industries are 20.6% and 5.5%, respectively. R&D adjustments in response to export tariffs mainly occur on the intensive, rather than the extensive, margin.

Suggested Citation

  • Florin G Maican & Matilda Orth & Mark J Roberts & Van Anh Vuong, 2023. "The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(4), pages 1318-1362.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:jeurec:v:21:y:2023:i:4:p:1318-1362.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jeea/jvac065
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    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

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