IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/indcch/v29y2020i5p1297-1318..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Demand-led catch-up: a history-friendly model of latecomer development in the global green economy

Author

Listed:
  • Fabio Landini
  • Rasmus Lema
  • Franco Malerba

Abstract

This article examines the role played by demand in catching up and in leadership changes in green industries, motivated by the belief that demand-led catch-up is a prevalent pathway in such industries. The article first examines stylized cases of sectoral green catch-up by China in which the local market and domestic demand played an important role before the sector started expanding globally. In particular, the focus is on three industries: wind, biomass and hydropower. Then, it uses a history-friendly model to study the effects of a major increase in domestic demand (a “demand window”) in a green industry. The baseline simulation first examines the effects of a demand window in promoting learning and capability building by latecomers and in triggering a catch-up process. Then, the counterfactual simulations show that (i) a technological discontinuity which takes place after the demand window could reduce the effectiveness of the demand window in the catch-up process; (ii) the specific timing of the demand window could significantly alter the dynamic patterns of catch-up; (iii) protectionism is a necessary condition for the demand window to have its effect; and (iv) regimes of slow capability accumulation could turn out to be beneficial for the latecomer when a technological discontinuity follows the demand window. These results can help policymakers in identifying key conditions related to demand-led catch-up strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Landini & Rasmus Lema & Franco Malerba, 2020. "Demand-led catch-up: a history-friendly model of latecomer development in the global green economy," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 29(5), pages 1297-1318.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:indcch:v:29:y:2020:i:5:p:1297-1318.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/icc/dtaa038
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Sungyong & Kim, Hyunseob & Song, Jaeyong & Lee, Keun, 2021. "Dynamics of Imitation versus Innovation in Technological Leadership Change: Latecomers’ Catch-up Strategies in Diverse Technological Regimes," SocArXiv b8fae, Center for Open Science.
    2. Samovoleva, Svetlana, 2023. "Окна Возможностей И Ловушки При Переходе К Собственным Инновациям [Transition toward own innovation: the windows of opportunity and traps]," MPRA Paper 119314, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. van der Loos, Adriaan & Langeveld, Rowan & Hekkert, Marko & Negro, Simona & Truffer, Bernhard, 2022. "Developing local industries and global value chains: The case of offshore wind," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • Q20 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - General
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:indcch:v:29:y:2020:i:5:p:1297-1318.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://academic.oup.com/icc .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.