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Unemployment and Development

Author

Listed:
  • Ying Feng
  • David Lagakos
  • James E Rauch

Abstract

We draw on household survey data from countries of all income levels and document that average unemployment rates increase with gross domestic product per capita. This is accounted for almost entirely by low—rather than high—educated workers. We interpret these facts in a model with frictional labour markets, a traditional self-employment sector, skill-biased productivity differences across countries, and unemployment benefits that become more generous with development. A calibrated version of the model does well in explaining the cross-country patterns that we document. Counterfactual exercises point to skill-biased productivity differences as the most important factor in explaining the cross-country unemployment patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Ying Feng & David Lagakos & James E Rauch, 2024. "Unemployment and Development," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 134(658), pages 614-647.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:econjl:v:134:y:2024:i:658:p:614-647.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ej/uead076
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    Cited by:

    1. Bobba, Matteo & Flabbi, Luca & Levy, Santiago & Tejada, Mauricio, 2021. "Labor market search, informality, and on-the-job human capital accumulation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(2), pages 433-453.
    2. Piotr Denderski & Florian Sniekers, "undated". "Broadband Internet and the Self-Employment Rate: A Cross-Country Study on the Gig Economy," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/13, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    3. Camila Cisneros-Acevedo & Alessandro Ruggieri, 2022. "Firms, policies, informality, and the labour market," Discussion Papers 2022-11, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    4. Alexander Bick & David Lagakos & Hitoshi Tsujiyama & Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, 2019. "Explaining Hours Worked Across and Within Countries: Income Effects vs. Taxes and Transfers," 2019 Meeting Papers 1363, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Gu, Jiajia, 2021. "Financial intermediation and occupational choice," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Denderski, Piotr & Sniekers, Florian, 2021. "Declining Search Frictions and Type-of-Employment Choice," Discussion Paper 2021-010, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    7. Siti Aminah Mainal & Fatin Alwani Abu Hanipah & Nur Liyana Zuhaimi & Nur Nuzul Syahira Kamarudin, 2024. "The Impact of Taxation on the Cost of Living: A Comprehensive Analysis," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 16(3), pages 628-643.
    8. Anurag Banerjee & Parantap Basu & Elisa Keller, 2023. "Cross‐country disparities in skill premium and skill acquisition," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(1), pages 179-198, January.
    9. Ufuk Bingöl & Fatih Ayhan, 2020. "The Impact of NEET and Labor Market Indicators on Human Development: A Panel Data Analysis for EU-28 Countries," Journal of Social Policy Conferences, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(79), pages 441-468, December.
    10. Xiao Ma & Alejandro Nakab & Daniela Vidart, 2024. "Human Capital Investment and Development: The Role of On-the-Job Training," Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 2(1), pages 107-148.
    11. Davit Gondauri, 2025. "The Impact of Socio-Economic Challenges and Technological Progress on Economic Inequality: An Estimation with the Perelman Model and Ricci Flow Methods," Papers 2501.00800, arXiv.org.
    12. Matteo Bobba & Luca Flabbi & Santiago Levy, 2022. "Labor Market Search, Informality, And Schooling Investments," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(1), pages 211-259, February.
    13. Valentin-Marian Antohi & Costinela Fortea & Monica Laura Zlati & Rohail Hassan, 2025. "Unemployment in EU Member States: Evidence on the Influence of Economic and Demographic Factors," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 2, pages 210-222.
    14. Choi,Yunji & Gronert, Mario & Honorati, Maddalena & Merfeld,Joshua D. & Newhouse, David, 2024. "Does Climbing the Jobs Ladder Promote Poverty Reduction ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10856, The World Bank.
    15. Titan Alon & Minki Kim & David Lagakos & Mitchell VanVuren, 2020. "How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World?," NBER Working Papers 27273, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Benjamin Musiita & Frederick Nsambu Kijjambu & Asaph Kaburura Katarangi, 2024. "Factor Input Prices and Unemployment in Uganda," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 16(1), pages 52-66.
    17. Poschke, Markus, 2025. "Wage employment, unemployment and self-employment across countries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Girum Abebe & A Stefano Caria & Marcel Fafchamps & Paolo Falco & Simon Franklin & Simon Quinn, 2021. "Anonymity or Distance? Job Search and Labour Market Exclusion in a Growing African City [Endogenous Stratification in Randomized Experiments]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(3), pages 1279-1310.
    19. Ma, Xiao & Muendler, Marc-Andreas & Nakab, Alejandro, 2020. "Learning by Exporting and Wage Profiles: New Evidence from Brazil," MPRA Paper 109497, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Aug 2021.
    20. Xiao Ma & Alejandro Nakab & Daniela Vidart, 2022. "How do Workers Learn? Theory and Evidence on the Roots of Lifecycle Human Capital Accumulation," Working papers 2022-11, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2024.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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