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Cohesion within the euro area and the US: A wavelet-based view

Author

Listed:
  • António Rua
  • Artur Silva Lopes

Abstract

The analysis of synchronisation of macroeconomic fluctuations across countries or regions has been crucial, for example, for the debate on economic integration. In this paper, we propose a multivariate measure of synchronisation to assess cohesion across countries or regions by resorting to wavelet analysis. This wavelet-based measure of cohesion allows one to study how synchronisation has evolved over time and across frequencies simultaneously. In particular, we investigate the cohesion among euro area countries and within the US, both at the regional and state levels, over the last decades. In addition, an analysis at the sectoral level is also conducted. The results obtained unveil a noteworthy heterogeneity and highlight the usefulness of a wavelet-based measure of cohesion.

Suggested Citation

  • António Rua & Artur Silva Lopes, 2015. "Cohesion within the euro area and the US: A wavelet-based view," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2014(2), pages 63-76.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:stdkab:5js1j15792zp
    DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2014-5js1j15792zp
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    Cited by:

    1. Lubos Hanus & Lukas Vacha, 2015. "Business cycle synchronization of the Visegrad Four and the European Union," Working Papers IES 2015/19, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2015.
    2. Lubos Hanus & Lukas Vacha, 2015. "Business cycle synchronization within the European Union: A wavelet cohesion approach," Papers 1506.03106, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
    3. repec:ptu:bdpart:b201208 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
    5. Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2022. "Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: A Cross‐Country Perspective Using Wavelet Analysis," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 569-593, June.
    6. Aguiar-Conraria Luís & Brinca Pedro & Guðjónsson Haukur Viðar & Soares Maria Joana, 2017. "Business cycle synchronization across U.S. states," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-15, January.
    7. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Jose Arreola‐Hernandez & Md Lutfur Rahman & Gazi Salah Uddin & Muhammad Yahya, 2021. "Asymmetric interdependence between currency markets' volatilities across frequencies and time scales," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2436-2457, April.
    8. Kurowski, Łukasz & Rogowicz, Karol, 2018. "Are business and credit cycles synchronised internally or externally?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 124-141.
    9. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Peng, Zhe & Bouri, Elie & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Examining the asymmetries between equity and commodity ETFs during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    11. Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
    12. Chaker Aloui & Rania Jammazi & Hela Ben Hamida, 2018. "Multivariate Co-movement Between Islamic Stock and Bond Markets Among the GCC: A Wavelet-Based View," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 603-626, August.
    13. Luboš Hanus & Lukáš Vácha, 2020. "Growth cycle synchronization of the Visegrad Four and the European Union," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1779-1795, April.
    14. João Martins, 2022. "Bond Yields Movement Similarities and Synchronization in the G7: A Time–Frequency Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(2), pages 189-214, July.
    15. Kunovac, Davor & Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: A cross-country perspective," Discussion Papers 04/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Pedro Brinca & Haukur Viðar Guðjónsson & Maria Joana Soares, 2015. "Optimum Currency Area and Business Cycle Synchronization Across U.S. States," NIPE Working Papers 1/2015, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    17. Patrick M. Crowley & Andrew Hughes Hallett, 2021. "The Evolution of US and UK Real GDP Components in the Time-Frequency Domain: A Continuous Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 233-261, December.
    18. Vácha, Lukáš & Šmolík, Filip & Baxa, Jaromír, 2019. "Comovement and disintegration of EU sovereign bond markets during the crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 541-556.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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