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Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean

Author

Listed:
  • Paul S. Kench

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Kyle M. Morgan

    (Nanyang Technological University
    Nanyang Technological University)

  • Susan D. Owen

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Ke Lin

    (Nanyang Technological University)

  • Xianfeng Wang

    (Nanyang Technological University
    Nanyang Technological University)

  • Riovie D. Ramos

    (Nanyang Technological University)

Abstract

Empirical observations of the rate of sea-level rise (SLR) and the timing of its recent acceleration are critical for validating ensemble methods used to determine global mean sea level trends. Such records are critically important at far-field locations where instrumental datasets are scarce. Here we construct a continuous 90-year sea level record (1930–2019) from the central tropical Indian Ocean derived from the incremental growth of a coral microatoll, which is demonstrated to reflect changes in sea level at annual timescales. Our record, which overlaps with tide gauge observations, extends the instrumental record by six decades and reveals climatic variability and marked changes in sea level behaviour across the twentieth century characterised by: (1) an increase in sea level of 0.30 m between 1930 and 2019; (2) low rates of SLR in the early twentieth century (1.42 ± 0.42 mm.yr−1); (3) a marked acceleration in SLR to ~3.44 ± 0.68 mm.y−1 in the late 1950’s; and (4) a further increase to 4.39 ± 0.48 mm.y−1 over the past three decades. Our results provide empirical evidence for a mid-century SLR acceleration in the central Indian Ocean, which is earlier than instrumental records indicate for coastal sites at the continental margins.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul S. Kench & Kyle M. Morgan & Susan D. Owen & Ke Lin & Xianfeng Wang & Riovie D. Ramos, 2025. "Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-60972-2
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-60972-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Terry P. Hughes & James T. Kerry & Mariana Álvarez-Noriega & Jorge G. Álvarez-Romero & Kristen D. Anderson & Andrew H. Baird & Russell C. Babcock & Maria Beger & David R. Bellwood & Ray Berkelmans & T, 2017. "Global warming and recurrent mass bleaching of corals," Nature, Nature, vol. 543(7645), pages 373-377, March.
    2. Neil Saintilan & Benjamin Horton & Torbjörn E. Törnqvist & Erica L. Ashe & Nicole S. Khan & Mark Schuerch & Chris Perry & Robert E. Kopp & Gregory G. Garner & Nicholas Murray & Kerrylee Rogers & Simon, 2023. "Widespread retreat of coastal habitat is likely at warming levels above 1.5 °C," Nature, Nature, vol. 621(7977), pages 112-119, September.
    3. Chris T. Perry & Lorenzo Alvarez-Filip & Nicholas A. J. Graham & Peter J. Mumby & Shaun K. Wilson & Paul S. Kench & Derek P. Manzello & Kyle M. Morgan & Aimee B. A. Slangen & Damian P. Thomson & Frase, 2018. "Loss of coral reef growth capacity to track future increases in sea level," Nature, Nature, vol. 558(7710), pages 396-400, June.
    4. Sönke Dangendorf & Carling Hay & Francisco M. Calafat & Marta Marcos & Christopher G. Piecuch & Kevin Berk & Jürgen Jensen, 2019. "Persistent acceleration in global sea-level rise since the 1960s," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(9), pages 705-710, September.
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